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HK U23 vs Eastern AA Prediction & H2H Stats

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Sapling Cup 2023/2024
HK U23 Logo

HK U23

1 - 2
FT
Eastern AA Logo

Eastern AA

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Eastern AA advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
HK U23
15%
Draws
57%
Eastern AA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eastern AA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Eastern AA carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Eastern AA a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Eastern AA arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Eastern AA, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Eastern AA have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
HK U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Eastern AA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HK U23 Eastern AA
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 0.8 1.78
Goals Conceded 3.03 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Premier League
HK U23 vs Eastern AA
0:6
Jan 21, 2024 Sapling Cup
HK U23 vs Eastern AA
1:2
Dec 3, 2023 Sapling Cup
Eastern AA vs HK U23
2:2
Aug 20, 2023 Premier League
Eastern AA vs HK U23
3:0
Feb 19, 2023 Premier League
Eastern AA vs HK U23
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HK U23 10 / 100
Eastern AA 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HK U23 Eastern AA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eastern AA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Eastern AA has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Eastern AA's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

HK U23 scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Eastern AA
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

HK U23

(Home)
26 May
HK U23
2 : 4
Tai Po
19 May
North District
0 : 1
HK U23
05 May
Hong Kong Rangers
5 : 0
HK U23
28 Apr
HK U23
0 : 6
Kitchee
21 Apr
HK U23
0 : 6
Eastern AA
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Eastern AA

(Away)
26 Sept
Eastern AA
3 : 1
Kitchee
20 Sept
Hong Kong Rangers
1 : 0
Eastern AA
05 Sept
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Kowloon City
30 Aug
Tai Po
4 : 1
Eastern AA
21 Aug
Eastern AA
1 : 3
Shatin
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Southern District 10 6 4 0 25:10 22
2 Tai Po 10 6 1 3 19:13 19
3 Eastern AA 10 4 5 1 25:14 17
4 Hong Kong FC 10 3 3 4 19:23 12
5 Sham Shui Po 10 2 1 7 15:33 7
6 HK U23 10 1 2 7 11:21 5
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kitchee 8 5 1 2 26:14 16
2 Hong Kong Rangers 8 4 3 1 22:18 15
3 North District 8 4 2 2 15:12 14
4 Resources Capital 8 1 2 5 10:24 5
5 Lee Man Warriors 8 1 2 5 12:17 5
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2023/2024 (Play Offs)