Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HK U23 vs Tai Po

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Sapling Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tai Po in this Sapling Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
HK U23
15%
Draws
57%
Tai Po
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tai Po

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Tai Po have won more games recently than HK U23.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Tai Po taking it.
  • Tai Po arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tai Po, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tai Po have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
HK U23 Clean Sheet 15%
Tai Po Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HK U23 Tai Po
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 3 21
Draws 5 2
Losses 22 10
Goals Scored 0.8 2.21
Goals Conceded 3.03 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2024 Premier League
HK U23 vs Tai Po
2:4
Jan 27, 2024 Premier League
Tai Po vs HK U23
6:0
Jan 14, 2024 Sapling Cup
Tai Po vs HK U23
4:0
Nov 19, 2023 Sapling Cup
HK U23 vs Tai Po
0:1
Apr 23, 2023 Premier League
Tai Po vs HK U23
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HK U23 10 / 100
Tai Po 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HK U23 Tai Po

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tai Po Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Tai Po's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.

Away concern: Tai Po has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

HK U23's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tai Po
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

HK U23

(Home)
26 May
HK U23
2 : 4
Tai Po
19 May
North District
0 : 1
HK U23
05 May
Hong Kong Rangers
5 : 0
HK U23
28 Apr
HK U23
0 : 6
Kitchee
21 Apr
HK U23
0 : 6
Eastern AA
Page 1 of 6

Tai Po

(Away)
17 Sept
Adelaide Utd
3 : 0
Tai Po
12 Sept
Tai Po
1 : 2
Hong Kong FC
05 Sept
Tai Po
3 : 2
Hong Kong Rangers
30 Aug
Tai Po
4 : 1
Eastern AA
23 Aug
North District
2 : 0
Tai Po
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Southern District 10 6 4 0 25:10 22
2 Tai Po 10 6 1 3 19:13 19
3 Eastern AA 10 4 5 1 25:14 17
4 Hong Kong FC 10 3 3 4 19:23 12
5 Sham Shui Po 10 2 1 7 15:33 7
6 HK U23 10 1 2 7 11:21 5
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kitchee 8 5 1 2 26:14 16
2 Hong Kong Rangers 8 4 3 1 22:18 15
3 North District 8 4 2 2 15:12 14
4 Resources Capital 8 1 2 5 10:24 5
5 Lee Man Warriors 8 1 2 5 12:17 5
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2023/2024 (Play Offs)