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HNK Gorica vs Imotski Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

2. HNL 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 2. HNL 2016/2017 game between HNK Gorica and Imotski finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
HNK Gorica
35%
Draws
20%
Imotski
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: HNK Gorica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • HNK Gorica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on HNK Gorica taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
HNK Gorica Clean Sheet 68%
Imotski Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HNK Gorica Imotski
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.26 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2017 Prva NL
HNK Gorica vs Imotski
2:2
Nov 5, 2016 Prva NL
Imotski vs HNK Gorica
0:2
Sep 2, 2016 Prva NL
HNK Gorica vs Imotski
1:0
Apr 8, 2016 Prva NL
HNK Gorica vs Imotski
3:0
Nov 28, 2015 Prva NL
Imotski vs HNK Gorica
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HNK Gorica 95 / 100
Imotski 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HNK Gorica Imotski

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HNK Gorica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Imotski's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

HNK Gorica went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

HNK Gorica found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

HNK Gorica VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

HNK Gorica

(Home)
02 Oct
HNK Gorica
3 : 3
Bravo
28 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
HNK Gorica
19 Sept
Istra 1961
0 : 1
HNK Gorica
14 Sept
HNK Gorica
2 : 2
Varazdin
09 Sept
Uskok Klis
1 : 3
HNK Gorica
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Imotski

(Away)
07 Aug
Imotski
2 : 3
Mracaj Runovic
28 May
Imotski
2 : 0
Dinamo Zagreb 2
20 May
Lucko
2 : 0
Imotski
14 May
Dugopolje
1 : 1
Imotski
29 Apr
Imotski
0 : 1
NK Zagreb
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rudes 33 17 9 7 43:28 60
2 HNK Gorica 33 15 12 6 53:31 57
3 Solin 33 16 7 10 40:36 55
4 Sesvete 33 15 7 11 53:36 52
5 Dinamo Zagreb 2 33 12 11 10 39:32 47
6 Dugopolje 33 12 10 11 36:32 46
7 Sibenik 33 12 9 12 32:33 45
8 Novigrad 33 11 9 13 28:35 42
9 Lucko 33 9 11 13 34:48 38
10 Dragovoljac 33 9 9 15 30:39 36
11 Imotski 33 8 7 18 36:58 31
12 NK Zagreb 33 6 11 16 34:50 29
Promotion - 1. HNL 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - 2. HNL 2016/2017 (Promotion)