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HNK Gorica vs Lok. Zagreb - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

HNL Gradski stadion Velika Gorica, Velika Gorica
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

HNK Gorica host Lok. Zagreb in the HNL. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: HNK Gorica at 1.2 goals for, 1.43 against; Lok. Zagreb at 1.44 for, 1.33 against. Past meetings favor Lok. Zagreb slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.00) point toward Lok. Zagreb. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
HNK Gorica
35%
Draws
26%
Lok. Zagreb
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: HNK Gorica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lok. Zagreb come out ahead of HNK Gorica on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on HNK Gorica taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
HNK Gorica Clean Sheet 20%
Lok. Zagreb Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HNK Gorica Lok. Zagreb
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.2 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 HNL
Lok. Zagreb vs HNK Gorica
3:1
Apr 17, 2026 HNL
HNK Gorica vs Lok. Zagreb
0:2
Feb 6, 2026 HNL
Lok. Zagreb vs HNK Gorica
3:0
Nov 3, 2025 HNL
HNK Gorica vs Lok. Zagreb
4:1
Aug 16, 2025 HNL
Lok. Zagreb vs HNK Gorica
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HNK Gorica 42 / 100
Lok. Zagreb 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HNK Gorica Lok. Zagreb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

HNK Gorica found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Lok. Zagreb's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

HNK Gorica has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

HNK Gorica VS Lok. Zagreb
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

HNK Gorica

(Home)
09 Oct
HNK Gorica
1 : 2
Rudes
02 Oct
HNK Gorica
3 : 3
Bravo
28 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
HNK Gorica
19 Sept
Istra 1961
0 : 1
HNK Gorica
14 Sept
HNK Gorica
2 : 2
Varazdin
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Lok. Zagreb

(Away)
20 Sept
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
12 Sept
Lok. Zagreb
1 : 1
Rijeka
09 Sept
Tomislav DA
0 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
06 Sept
Slaven Belupo
2 : 1
Lok. Zagreb
31 Aug
Hajduk Split
2 : 0
Lok. Zagreb
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Zagreb 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Hajduk Split 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
3 Osijek 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
4 Varazdin 8 4 3 1 13:7 15
5 Rijeka 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
6 Istra 1961 8 2 3 3 14:13 9
7 Lok. Zagreb 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
8 Slaven Belupo 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
9 Rudes 9 2 1 6 12:25 7
10 HNK Gorica 9 1 2 6 6:14 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)