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HNK Gorica vs Rijeka Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

HNL Gradski stadion Velika Gorica, Velika Gorica
HNK Gorica Logo

HNK Gorica

0 - 0
FT
Rijeka Logo

Rijeka

Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Sub
Devetak M. In: Lasickas J.
Out: Devetak M.
46'
Sub
Lacoux T. In: Kucis S.
Out: Lacoux T.
58'
Husic A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The HNL game between HNK Gorica and Rijeka finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
HNK Gorica
35%
Draws
34%
Rijeka
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • HNK Gorica haven't matched Rijeka's recent run of results.
  • Rijeka are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular HNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
HNK Gorica Clean Sheet 16%
Rijeka Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HNK Gorica Rijeka
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.21 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 HNL
HNK Gorica vs Rijeka
0:0
May 23, 2026 HNL
Rijeka vs HNK Gorica
2:0
Mar 22, 2026 HNL
HNK Gorica vs Rijeka
4:0
Dec 21, 2025 HNL
Rijeka vs HNK Gorica
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 HNL
HNK Gorica vs Rijeka
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HNK Gorica 15 / 100
Rijeka 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HNK Gorica Rijeka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rijeka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HNK Gorica has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: HNK Gorica scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Rijeka conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

HNK Gorica VS Rijeka
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

HNK Gorica

(Home)
02 Oct
HNK Gorica
3 : 3
Bravo
28 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
HNK Gorica
19 Sept
Istra 1961
0 : 1
HNK Gorica
14 Sept
HNK Gorica
2 : 2
Varazdin
09 Sept
Uskok Klis
1 : 3
HNK Gorica
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Rijeka

(Away)
26 Sept
Rijeka
0 : 1
Union Berlin
20 Sept
Rijeka
3 : 0
Hajduk Split
16 Sept
Vrbovec
0 : 6
Rijeka
12 Sept
Lok. Zagreb
1 : 1
Rijeka
05 Sept
Rijeka
4 : 1
Osijek
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Zagreb 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Hajduk Split 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
3 Osijek 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
4 Varazdin 8 4 3 1 13:7 15
5 Rijeka 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
6 Istra 1961 8 2 3 3 14:13 9
7 Lok. Zagreb 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
8 Slaven Belupo 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
9 HNK Gorica 8 1 2 5 5:12 5
10 Rudes 8 1 1 6 10:24 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)