Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HNK Gorica vs Rudes Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

HNL Gradski stadion Velika Gorica, Velika Gorica
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

HNK Gorica host Rudes in the HNL. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. HNK Gorica have averaged 1.21 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against Rudes's 1.62 scored and 1.72 conceded. Past meetings favor HNK Gorica slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 29, 2025, ending 0:6. xG projections (2.00 - 1.38) back Rudes to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
HNK Gorica
35%
Draws
20%
Rudes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: HNK Gorica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Rudes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives HNK Gorica a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors HNK Gorica here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
HNK Gorica Clean Sheet 17%
Rudes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HNK Gorica Rudes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2025 Croatian Cup
Rudes vs HNK Gorica
0:6
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
HNK Gorica vs Rudes
3:0
May 10, 2024 HNL
HNK Gorica vs Rudes
2:1
Mar 4, 2024 HNL
Rudes vs HNK Gorica
2:1
Jan 6, 2024 Club Friendly
HNK Gorica vs Rudes
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HNK Gorica 84 / 100
Rudes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HNK Gorica Rudes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HNK Gorica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

HNK Gorica has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: HNK Gorica scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Rudes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

HNK Gorica VS Rudes
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

HNK Gorica

(Home)
02 Oct
HNK Gorica
3 : 3
Bravo
28 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
HNK Gorica
19 Sept
Istra 1961
0 : 1
HNK Gorica
14 Sept
HNK Gorica
2 : 2
Varazdin
09 Sept
Uskok Klis
1 : 3
HNK Gorica
Page 1 of 6

Rudes

(Away)
18 Sept
Rudes
2 : 2
Slaven Belupo
13 Sept
Istra 1961
3 : 2
Rudes
09 Sept
NK Koprivnica
2 : 3
Rudes
06 Sept
Rudes
0 : 4
Hajduk Split
29 Aug
Varazdin
2 : 0
Rudes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Zagreb 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Hajduk Split 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
3 Osijek 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
4 Varazdin 8 4 3 1 13:7 15
5 Rijeka 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
6 Istra 1961 8 2 3 3 14:13 9
7 Lok. Zagreb 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
8 Slaven Belupo 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
9 HNK Gorica 8 1 2 5 5:12 5
10 Rudes 8 1 1 6 10:24 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)