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HNK Gorica vs Slaven Belupo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

HNL Gradski stadion Velika Gorica, Velika Gorica
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

HNK Gorica host Slaven Belupo in the HNL. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: HNK Gorica at 1.24 goals for, 1.48 against; Slaven Belupo at 1.41 for, 1.9 against. Head-to-head, HNK Gorica have won 1 to Slaven Belupo's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.31) back HNK Gorica to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
HNK Gorica
35%
Draws
35%
Slaven Belupo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and HNK Gorica come out ahead of Slaven Belupo on wins alone.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Slaven Belupo taking it.
  • Regular HNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
HNK Gorica Clean Sheet 18%
Slaven Belupo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HNK Gorica Slaven Belupo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.24 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 HNL
Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica
2:0
May 10, 2026 HNL
Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica
1:0
Mar 7, 2026 HNL
HNK Gorica vs Slaven Belupo
2:2
Dec 5, 2025 HNL
Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 HNL
HNK Gorica vs Slaven Belupo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HNK Gorica 23 / 100
Slaven Belupo 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HNK Gorica Slaven Belupo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slaven Belupo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Slaven Belupo conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

HNK Gorica scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: HNK Gorica stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HNK Gorica VS Slaven Belupo
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

HNK Gorica

(Home)
09 Oct
HNK Gorica
1 : 2
Rudes
02 Oct
HNK Gorica
3 : 3
Bravo
28 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
HNK Gorica
19 Sept
Istra 1961
0 : 1
HNK Gorica
14 Sept
HNK Gorica
2 : 2
Varazdin
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Slaven Belupo

(Away)
11 Oct
Slaven Belupo
4 : 1
Rijeka
01 Oct
O. Ljubljana
2 : 1
Slaven Belupo
18 Sept
Rudes
2 : 2
Slaven Belupo
13 Sept
Hajduk Split
1 : 0
Slaven Belupo
09 Sept
Dragovoljac
0 : 5
Slaven Belupo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hajduk Split 9 6 1 2 18:9 19
2 Varazdin 9 5 3 1 14:7 18
3 Din. Zagreb 8 5 1 2 18:11 16
4 Osijek 9 5 1 3 18:14 16
5 Rijeka 8 4 2 2 14:11 14
6 Istra 1961 9 3 3 3 17:14 12
7 Slaven Belupo 9 3 1 5 11:17 10
8 Lok. Zagreb 9 2 1 6 11:17 7
9 Rudes 9 2 1 6 12:25 7
10 HNK Gorica 9 1 2 6 6:14 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)