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HNK Zadar vs RNK Split

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
HNK Zadar Logo

HNK Zadar

2 - 0
FT
RNK Split Logo

RNK Split

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between HNK Zadar and RNK Split finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HNK Zadar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
HNK Zadar
30%
Draws
54%
RNK Split
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: RNK Split

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • RNK Split carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
HNK Zadar Clean Sheet 17%
RNK Split Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HNK Zadar RNK Split
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.7 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2022 3. HNL South
HNK Zadar vs RNK Split
2:0
Sep 11, 2021 3. HNL South
RNK Split vs HNK Zadar
1:1
Jul 31, 2021 Club Friendly
RNK Split vs HNK Zadar
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HNK Zadar 31 / 100
RNK Split 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HNK Zadar RNK Split

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RNK Split Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HNK Zadar found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

RNK Split let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Recent resilience: HNK Zadar stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HNK Zadar VS RNK Split
1.63 Goals Scored 1.17
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.17
88% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

HNK Zadar

(Home)
25 Aug
Kustosija
3 : 1
HNK Zadar
01 Aug
Zagora
1 : 0
HNK Zadar
16 Jun
HNK Zadar
2 : 2
Segesta
09 Jun
Segesta
2 : 1
HNK Zadar
10 Feb
HNK Zadar
0 : 0
Dubrava Zagreb
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RNK Split

(Away)
14 Feb
RNK Split
1 : 3
Din. Zagreb
19 Oct
RNK Split
2 : 0
Cibalia
27 Jul
Dugopolje
1 : 0
RNK Split
28 May
Primorac Biograd
1 : 1
RNK Split
21 May
RNK Split
1 : 0
GOSK Dubrovnik
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)