Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HNK Zadar vs RNK Split

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between HNK Zadar and RNK Split finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HNK Zadar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
HNK Zadar
30%
Draws
34%
RNK Split
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: HNK Zadar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • HNK Zadar's 1.63 goals per match outpaces what RNK Split have produced (1.14).
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on HNK Zadar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
HNK Zadar Clean Sheet 18%
RNK Split Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HNK Zadar RNK Split
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 14 14
Draws 10 5
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2022 3. HNL South
HNK Zadar vs RNK Split
2:0
Sep 11, 2021 3. HNL South
RNK Split vs HNK Zadar
1:1
Jul 31, 2021 Club Friendly
RNK Split vs HNK Zadar
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HNK Zadar 36 / 100
RNK Split 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HNK Zadar RNK Split

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HNK Zadar found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

RNK Split let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Recent resilience: HNK Zadar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HNK Zadar VS RNK Split
1.63 Goals Scored 1.14
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

HNK Zadar

(Home)
16 Jun
HNK Zadar
2 : 2
Segesta
09 Jun
Segesta
2 : 1
HNK Zadar
10 Feb
HNK Zadar
0 : 0
Dubrava Zagreb
02 Feb
HNK Zadar
0 : 0
Sutjeska
20 Jan
HNK Zadar
0 : 2
Sibenik
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RNK Split

(Away)
14 Feb
RNK Split
1 : 3
Din. Zagreb
19 Oct
RNK Split
2 : 0
Cibalia
27 Jul
Dugopolje
1 : 0
RNK Split
28 May
Primorac Biograd
1 : 1
RNK Split
21 May
RNK Split
1 : 0
GOSK Dubrovnik
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jadran Luka Ploce34205967:2865
2Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje341861056:3860
3Hrvace341861046:3960
4HNK Zadar341611769:2859
5Neretva341671150:3655
6RNK Split341571252:4052
7NK Junak Sinj341641449:4652
8Uskok Klis341561351:5451
9Sloga Mravince341214848:4550
10Primorac Biograd341461460:5648
11Zagora341281447:5244
12GOSK Dubrovnik3411101335:3443
13Zmaj Makarska3411101328:3943
14Neretvanac341081640:5338
15Kamen Podbablje349101537:5137
16Vodice34891744:7333
17Urania Baska Voda341032133:6533
18OSK Otok34682048:8326
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)