Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ho Chi Minh City vs Binh Duong - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 2
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ho Chi Minh City host Binh Duong in the V.League 2. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Ho Chi Minh City have averaged 1.41 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Binh Duong's 1.34 scored and 1.41 conceded. Head-to-head, Ho Chi Minh City have won 1 to Binh Duong's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 5, 2020, ending 4:3. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 0.94) point toward Ho Chi Minh City. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Ho Chi Minh City
15%
Draws
44%
Binh Duong
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Binh Duong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ho Chi Minh City lately — more wins on the board than Binh Duong.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular V.League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ho Chi Minh City Clean Sheet 20%
Binh Duong Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ho Chi Minh City Binh Duong
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.41 1.34
Goals Conceded 1 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2020 Club Friendly
Ho Chi Minh City vs Binh Duong
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ho Chi Minh City 36 / 100
Binh Duong 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ho Chi Minh City Binh Duong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Binh Duong Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Ho Chi Minh City's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Binh Duong's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Ho Chi Minh City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ho Chi Minh City VS Binh Duong
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ho Chi Minh City

(Home)
25 Sept
Ho Chi Minh City
0 : 1
Van Hien
18 Sept
Quy Nhon United
1 : 2
Ho Chi Minh City
12 Sept
Lam Dong
0 : 1
Ho Chi Minh City
19 Aug
Aurora Saigon United
0 : 1
Ho Chi Minh City
06 Jun
Ho Chi Minh City
2 : 0
Aurora Saigon United
Page 1 of 7

Binh Duong

(Away)
10 Oct
Binh Duong
3 : 1
Lam Dong
19 Sept
Thanh Hoa
0 : 2
Binh Duong
13 Sept
Van Hien
0 : 0
Binh Duong
23 Aug
Binh Duong
2 : 1
Ho Chi Minh
19 Aug
Long An
0 : 2
Binh Duong
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thai Nguyen 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Van Hien 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
3 Hung Yen 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
4 PVF-CAND 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Ho Chi Minh City 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
6 Aurora Saigon United 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
7 Khanh Hoa 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Xuan Thien Phu Tho 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Binh Duong 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 Long An 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
11 Thep Can Tho 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
12 Quy Nhon United 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Lam Dong 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Hue FC 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - V.League 1 2027/2028 (Main)