Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ho Chi Minh vs Binh Duong

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 2025/2026 Thong Nhat Stadium, Ho Chi Minh City
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Le Quang Hung
46'
Sub
Kizito G. In: Nguyen Van Anh
Out: Kizito G.
46'
Sub
Nguyen Trong Hung In: Huynh T. H.
Out: Nguyen Trong Hung

AI Match Summary

The V.League 1 2025/2026 game between Ho Chi Minh and Binh Duong finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Binh Duong.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Ho Chi Minh
15%
Draws
69%
Binh Duong
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Binh Duong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Binh Duong haven't matched Ho Chi Minh's recent run of results.
  • Binh Duong are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Binh Duong have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Ho Chi Minh Clean Sheet 16%
Binh Duong Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ho Chi Minh Binh Duong
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.26 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Club Friendly
Binh Duong vs Ho Chi Minh
2:1
Mar 1, 2026 V.League 1
Ho Chi Minh vs Binh Duong
0:1
Sep 21, 2025 V.League 1
Binh Duong vs Ho Chi Minh
1:3
May 23, 2025 V.League 1
Ho Chi Minh vs Binh Duong
0:2
Oct 4, 2024 V.League 1
Binh Duong vs Ho Chi Minh
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ho Chi Minh 10 / 100
Binh Duong 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ho Chi Minh Binh Duong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Binh Duong Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Binh Duong's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ho Chi Minh scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Ho Chi Minh stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ho Chi Minh VS Binh Duong
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ho Chi Minh

(Home)
11 Sept
Bac Ninh
1 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
05 Sept
Ho Chi Minh
3 : 1
Hanoi FC
30 Aug
Cong An Ha Noi
5 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
23 Aug
Binh Duong
2 : 1
Ho Chi Minh
16 Aug
Ho Chi Minh
0 : 2
Long An
Page 1 of 7

Binh Duong

(Away)
19 Sept
Thanh Hoa
0 : 2
Binh Duong
13 Sept
Van Hien
0 : 0
Binh Duong
23 Aug
Binh Duong
2 : 1
Ho Chi Minh
19 Aug
Long An
0 : 2
Binh Duong
16 Aug
Binh Duong
2 : 1
Aurora Saigon United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cong An Ha Noi 26 20 4 2 58:22 64
2 Viettel 26 15 9 2 39:21 54
3 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 26 15 6 5 53:31 51
4 Hanoi FC 26 14 4 8 48:30 46
5 Ho Chi Minh 26 10 6 10 28:36 36
6 Nam Dinh 26 9 8 9 33:32 35
7 Hai Phong 26 9 5 12 37:36 32
8 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 26 7 8 11 15:29 29
9 Song Lam Nghe An 26 7 6 13 27:40 27
10 Gia Lai 26 6 8 12 24:37 26
11 Thanh Hoa 26 5 10 11 26:38 25
12 Da Nang 26 5 9 12 33:39 24
13 PVF-CAND 26 5 9 12 26:44 24
14 Binh Duong 26 6 6 14 31:43 24
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - V.League 1 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - V.League 2 (Main)