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Ho Chi Minh vs Buriram United F.C. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

ASEAN Club Championship
Wed, Nov 18, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ho Chi Minh host Buriram United F.C. in the ASEAN Club Championship. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Ho Chi Minh have averaged 1.17 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against Buriram United F.C.'s 2.07 scored and 0.97 conceded. Head-to-head, Ho Chi Minh have won 0 to Buriram United F.C.'s 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 21, 2020, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.13 - 2.00) back Buriram United F.C. to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Ho Chi Minh
35%
Draws
45%
Buriram United F.C.
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Buriram United F.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Buriram United F.C. carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Buriram United F.C. a 45% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this ASEAN Club Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ho Chi Minh Clean Sheet 10%
Buriram United F.C. Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ho Chi Minh Buriram United F.C.
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 19
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.17 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2020 AFC Champions League
Buriram United F.C. vs Ho Chi Minh
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ho Chi Minh 18 / 100
Buriram United F.C. 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ho Chi Minh Buriram United F.C.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buriram United F.C. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ho Chi Minh scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Buriram United F.C. conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Ho Chi Minh went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ho Chi Minh VS Buriram United F.C.
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ho Chi Minh

(Home)
07 Oct
Ratchaburi
1 : 1
Ho Chi Minh
11 Sept
Bac Ninh
1 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
05 Sept
Ho Chi Minh
3 : 1
Hanoi FC
30 Aug
Cong An Ha Noi
5 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
23 Aug
Binh Duong
2 : 1
Ho Chi Minh
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Buriram United F.C.

(Away)
10 Oct
Buriram United F.C.
3 : 2
Rayong FC
07 Oct
Buriram United F.C.
0 : 0
Borneo
20 Sept
Chonburi
0 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
15 Sept
Johor DT
1 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
11 Sept
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1
Chiangrai Utd
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampines 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
2 Kuching City FC 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
3 Ho Chi Minh 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Ratchaburi 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Buriram United F.C. 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
6 Borneo 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Manila Digger 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - ASEAN Club Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Johor DT 1 1 0 0 6:0 3
2 Persib Bandung 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Cong An Ha Noi 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Shan United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Lion City Sailors 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
6 Port MTI FC 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
7 Svay Rieng 1 0 0 1 0:6 0
Promotion - ASEAN Club Championship (Play Offs)