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Ho Chi Minh vs Hanoi FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 Go Dau Stadium, Thủ Dầu Một
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Match Events

16'
27' Event
Nguyen Tien Linh
50' Event
Nguyen Thai Q. C.

AI Match Summary

Ho Chi Minh in this V.League 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ho Chi Minh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ho Chi Minh
30%
Draws
31%
Hanoi FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ho Chi Minh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Ho Chi Minh haven't matched Hanoi FC's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ho Chi Minh Clean Sheet 13%
Hanoi FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ho Chi Minh Hanoi FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 V.League 1
Ho Chi Minh vs Hanoi FC
3:1
Jun 7, 2026 V.League 1
Hanoi FC vs Ho Chi Minh
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 V.League 1
Ho Chi Minh vs Hanoi FC
2:1
May 18, 2025 V.League 1
Hanoi FC vs Ho Chi Minh
5:1
Sep 29, 2024 V.League 1
Ho Chi Minh vs Hanoi FC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ho Chi Minh Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Tien Linh
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nguyen Thai Q. C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hanoi FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Jung A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ho Chi Minh 30 / 100
Hanoi FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ho Chi Minh Hanoi FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ho Chi Minh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Ho Chi Minh's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Hanoi FC conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Ho Chi Minh has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ho Chi Minh VS Hanoi FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ho Chi Minh

(Home)
11 Oct
Song Lam Nghe An
1 : 1
Ho Chi Minh
07 Oct
Ratchaburi
1 : 1
Ho Chi Minh
11 Sept
Bac Ninh
1 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
05 Sept
Ho Chi Minh
3 : 1
Hanoi FC
30 Aug
Cong An Ha Noi
5 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
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Hanoi FC

(Away)
11 Oct
Hanoi FC
1 : 0
Bac Ninh
20 Sept
Hanoi FC
1 : 2
Da Nang
12 Sept
Hanoi FC
1 : 4
Song Lam Nghe An
05 Sept
Ho Chi Minh
3 : 1
Hanoi FC
07 Jun
Hanoi FC
1 : 1
Ho Chi Minh
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cong An Ha Noi 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
3 Song Lam Nghe An 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
4 Thanh Hoa 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
5 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
6 Nam Dinh 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
7 Ho Chi Minh 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
8 Da Nang 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
9 Viettel 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
10 Bac Ninh 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
11 Hai Phong 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
12 Gia Lai 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
13 Hanoi FC 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
14 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - V.League 1 (Relegation)
Relegation - V.League 2 2027/2028 (Main)