Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ho Chi Minh vs PVF-CAND Prediction & H2H Stats

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 2025/2026 Thong Nhat Stadium, Ho Chi Minh City
Our Tip

Match Events

56'
Sub
Nguyen Nhu D. A. In: Nguyen A. T.
Out: Nguyen Nhu D. A.
56'
Sub
Mpande J. In: Eid M.
Out: Mpande J.
67'
Sub
Olaleye S. In: Truong Van Thai Quy
Out: Olaleye S.

AI Match Summary

The V.League 1 2025/2026 game between Ho Chi Minh and PVF-CAND finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ho Chi Minh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Ho Chi Minh
15%
Draws
65%
PVF-CAND
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PVF-CAND

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Ho Chi Minh carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans PVF-CAND's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Ho Chi Minh here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Ho Chi Minh Clean Sheet 23%
PVF-CAND Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ho Chi Minh PVF-CAND
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.22 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 V.League 1
Ho Chi Minh vs PVF-CAND
1:0
Feb 1, 2026 V.League 1
PVF-CAND vs Ho Chi Minh
1:2
Mar 31, 2019 Vietnamese Cup
PVF-CAND vs Ho Chi Minh
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ho Chi Minh Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngo D. K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

PVF-CAND Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ho Chi Minh 10 / 100
PVF-CAND 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ho Chi Minh PVF-CAND

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PVF-CAND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: PVF-CAND conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Ho Chi Minh scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Recent resilience: Ho Chi Minh stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ho Chi Minh VS PVF-CAND
1.75 Goals Scored 1.43
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.43
100% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Ho Chi Minh

(Home)
11 Sept
Bac Ninh
1 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
05 Sept
Ho Chi Minh
3 : 1
Hanoi FC
30 Aug
Cong An Ha Noi
5 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
23 Aug
Binh Duong
2 : 1
Ho Chi Minh
16 Aug
Ho Chi Minh
0 : 2
Long An
Page 1 of 7

PVF-CAND

(Away)
11 Sept
PVF-CAND
2 : 1
Long An
12 Jun
PVF-CAND
1 : 2
Bac Ninh
07 Jun
Song Lam Nghe An
1 : 3
PVF-CAND
31 May
PVF-CAND
3 : 1
Hai Phong
22 May
Viettel
1 : 1
PVF-CAND
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cong An Ha Noi 26 20 4 2 58:22 64
2 Viettel 26 15 9 2 39:21 54
3 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 26 15 6 5 53:31 51
4 Hanoi FC 26 14 4 8 48:30 46
5 Ho Chi Minh 26 10 6 10 28:36 36
6 Nam Dinh 26 9 8 9 33:32 35
7 Hai Phong 26 9 5 12 37:36 32
8 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 26 7 8 11 15:29 29
9 Song Lam Nghe An 26 7 6 13 27:40 27
10 Gia Lai 26 6 8 12 24:37 26
11 Thanh Hoa 26 5 10 11 26:38 25
12 Da Nang 26 5 9 12 33:39 24
13 PVF-CAND 26 5 9 12 26:44 24
14 Binh Duong 26 6 6 14 31:43 24
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - V.League 1 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - V.League 2 (Main)