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Hobart City vs Hobart United Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

Tasmania Southern Championship
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AI Match Summary

Hobart City in this Tasmania Southern Championship matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hobart City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Hobart City
30%
Draws
19%
Hobart United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hobart City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Hobart United haven't matched Hobart City's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Hobart City's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • Hobart City have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Hobart City Clean Sheet 15%
Hobart United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hobart City Hobart United
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 3
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 2.41 1.97
Goals Conceded 2 4.09
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs Hobart City
2:4
Apr 18, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart City vs Hobart United
5:0
Jun 21, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs Hobart City
1:2
Mar 22, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart City vs Hobart United
4:2
Jul 27, 2024 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs Hobart City
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hobart City 84 / 100
Hobart United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hobart City Hobart United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hobart City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hobart City found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (32 games).

Hobart United has conceded goals in 91% of their last 34 outings.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Hobart City stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hobart City VS Hobart United
2.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Hobart City

(Home)
15 Aug
Olympia Warriors
1 : 1
Hobart City
09 Aug
South Hobart U21
3 : 3
Hobart City
18 Jul
Hobart City
4 : 0
Clarence Zebras U21
11 Jul
Hobart United
2 : 4
Hobart City
04 Jul
Hobart City
5 : 2
University of Tasmania
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Hobart United

(Away)
22 Aug
Hobart United
0 : 5
South Hobart U21
07 Aug
Glenorchy Knights U21
3 : 6
Hobart United
31 Jul
Olympia Warriors
8 : 1
Hobart United
11 Jul
Hobart United
2 : 4
Hobart City
04 Jul
Taroona
1 : 1
Hobart United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Hobart U21 17 12 2 3 77:23 38
2 Olympia Warriors 17 11 2 4 51:26 35
3 New Town Eagles 16 9 5 2 54:17 32
4 Taroona 17 9 3 5 63:24 30
5 Hobart City 16 8 6 2 43:28 30
6 Clarence Zebras U21 16 7 1 8 37:41 22
7 Hobart United 17 4 2 11 34:81 14
8 Glenorchy Knights U21 17 3 2 12 37:79 11
9 University of Tasmania 17 3 1 13 29:62 10
10 South East United U21 6 0 0 6 6:50 0
Promotion - NPL Tasmania 2027 (Main)