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Hobart United vs New Town Eagles

Australia Australia

Tasmania Southern Championship
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AI Match Summary

The Tasmania Southern Championship game between Hobart United and New Town Eagles finished 0-10, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Town Eagles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Hobart United
20%
Draws
57%
New Town Eagles
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: New Town Eagles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • New Town Eagles carry the better recent record into this one.
  • New Town Eagles are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Southern Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and New Town Eagles have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Hobart United Clean Sheet 10%
New Town Eagles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hobart United New Town Eagles
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 14
Draws 3 7
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 1.8 3.5
Goals Conceded 4.37 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 3.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
New Town Eagles vs Hobart United
6:3
Mar 20, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs New Town Eagles
0:10
Jul 19, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
New Town Eagles vs Hobart United
6:1
May 3, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs New Town Eagles
1:0
Aug 24, 2024 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs New Town Eagles
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hobart United 10 / 100
New Town Eagles 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hobart United New Town Eagles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Town Eagles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Hobart United scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: New Town Eagles conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Hobart United has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hobart United VS New Town Eagles
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
4.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hobart United

(Home)
22 Aug
Hobart United
0 : 5
South Hobart U21
07 Aug
Glenorchy Knights U21
3 : 6
Hobart United
31 Jul
Olympia Warriors
8 : 1
Hobart United
11 Jul
Hobart United
2 : 4
Hobart City
04 Jul
Taroona
1 : 1
Hobart United
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New Town Eagles

(Away)
15 Aug
New Town Eagles
4 : 0
University of Tasmania
01 Aug
Clarence Zebras U21
0 : 2
New Town Eagles
18 Jul
New Town Eagles
9 : 0
Glenorchy Knights U21
11 Jul
New Town Eagles
0 : 3
South Hobart U21
04 Jul
New Town Eagles
0 : 0
Olympia Warriors
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Hobart U21 17 12 2 3 77:23 38
2 Olympia Warriors 17 11 2 4 51:26 35
3 New Town Eagles 16 9 5 2 54:17 32
4 Taroona 17 9 3 5 63:24 30
5 Hobart City 16 8 6 2 43:28 30
6 Clarence Zebras U21 16 7 1 8 37:41 22
7 Hobart United 17 4 2 11 34:81 14
8 Glenorchy Knights U21 17 3 2 12 37:79 11
9 University of Tasmania 17 3 1 13 29:62 10
10 South East United U21 6 0 0 6 6:50 0
Promotion - NPL Tasmania 2027 (Main)