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Hobart United vs Olympia Warriors

Australia Australia

Tasmania Southern Championship 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Tasmania Southern Championship 2023 game between Hobart United and Olympia Warriors finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olympia Warriors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Hobart United
6%
Draws
90%
Olympia Warriors
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Olympia Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Olympia Warriors carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Olympia Warriors's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Southern Championship 2023 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Olympia Warriors have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Hobart United Clean Sheet 10%
Olympia Warriors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hobart United Olympia Warriors
Matches Played 35 34
Wins 12 20
Draws 3 1
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 2 2.75
Goals Conceded 5.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs Olympia Warriors
0:6
Aug 16, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs Olympia Warriors
1:2
Aug 13, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs Olympia Warriors
1:2
May 9, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
Olympia Warriors vs Hobart United
5:2
Jul 19, 2024 Tasmania Southern Championship
Olympia Warriors vs Hobart United
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hobart United 10 / 100
Olympia Warriors 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hobart United Olympia Warriors

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hobart United found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (35 games).

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Olympia Warriors's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 34 matches.

Recent resilience: Hobart United stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hobart United VS Olympia Warriors
2 Goals Scored 2.75
5.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New Town Eagles16113262:2136
2South East United16101573:5331
3South Hobart U211692548:4229
4Olympia Warriors1682641:3626
5University of Tasmania1681750:4125
6Taroona1673643:3724
7Hobart United1663727:3321
8Metro Claremont16311234:7310
9Hobart City16121319:615