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Hobart United vs University of Tasmania

Australia Australia

Tasmania Southern Championship 2023
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tasmania Southern Championship 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Hobart United
20%
Draws
38%
University of Tasmania
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hobart United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Hobart United have won more games recently than University of Tasmania.
  • Win probability leans Hobart United's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Hobart United Clean Sheet 10%
University of Tasmania Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hobart United University of Tasmania
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 5
Draws 3 1
Losses 20 23
Goals Scored 2.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 4.25 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.25 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs University of Tasmania
2:3
Mar 14, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
University of Tasmania vs Hobart United
0:5
Aug 23, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
University of Tasmania vs Hobart United
3:1
Jul 5, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs University of Tasmania
5:0
Apr 12, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
University of Tasmania vs Hobart United
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hobart United 40 / 100
University of Tasmania 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hobart United University of Tasmania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

University of Tasmania let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Hobart United's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Difficult form: University of Tasmania registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hobart United VS University of Tasmania
2.38 Goals Scored 2.13
4.25 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hobart United

(Home)
11 Jul
Hobart United
2 : 4
Hobart City
04 Jul
Taroona
1 : 1
Hobart United
27 Jun
Clarence Zebras U21
2 : 2
Hobart United
20 Jun
New Town Eagles
6 : 3
Hobart United
13 Jun
Hobart United
2 : 3
University of Tasmania
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University of Tasmania

(Away)
18 Jul
South Hobart U21
5 : 0
University of Tasmania
04 Jul
Hobart City
5 : 2
University of Tasmania
26 Jun
Olympia Warriors
4 : 2
University of Tasmania
21 Jun
Clarence Zebras U21
1 : 4
University of Tasmania
13 Jun
Hobart United
2 : 3
University of Tasmania
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New Town Eagles16113262:2136
2South East United16101573:5331
3South Hobart U211692548:4229
4Olympia Warriors1682641:3626
5University of Tasmania1681750:4125
6Taroona1673643:3724
7Hobart United1663727:3321
8Metro Claremont16311234:7310
9Hobart City16121319:615
Promotion - Tasmania Southern Championship 2023 (Play Offs)