Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hobro vs Aalborg

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 DS Arena, Hobro
Hobro Logo

Hobro

0 - 1
FT
Aalborg Logo

Aalborg

Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Sub
Tiedemann B. In: Makolli E.
Out: Tiedemann B.
43' Event
Helenius N.
Assist: Makolli E.
45'
Olsson C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aalborg in this 1st Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aalborg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hobro
15%
Draws
45%
Aalborg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hobro lately — more wins on the board than Aalborg.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Aalborg taking it.
  • Regular 1st Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Hobro Clean Sheet 15%
Aalborg Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hobro Aalborg
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.41 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 1st Division
Aalborg vs Hobro
1:1
Apr 10, 2026 1st Division
Hobro vs Aalborg
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 1st Division
Hobro vs Aalborg
1:0
Aug 1, 2025 1st Division
Aalborg vs Hobro
1:1
Jun 29, 2024 Club Friendly
Hobro vs Aalborg
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hobro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Aalborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Helenius N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hobro 27 / 100
Aalborg 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hobro Aalborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalborg let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Hobro scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Hobro stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hobro VS Aalborg
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hobro

(Home)
08 Aug
Hobro
1 : 0
AB Copenhagen
05 Aug
Hobro
0 : 4
Vendsyssel FF
02 Aug
Vendsyssel FF
1 : 2
Hobro
26 Jul
Hobro
1 : 2
Aarhus Fremad
18 Jul
Hamburger II
1 : 2
Hobro
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Aalborg

(Away)
09 Aug
Aalborg
1 : 1
Kolding IF
04 Aug
Holstebro
1 : 3
Aalborg
31 Jul
Aarhus Fremad
1 : 2
Aalborg
24 Jul
Aalborg
1 : 0
Hillerod
17 Jul
Aalborg
1 : 2
Silkeborg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Aalborg 32 12 10 10 50:47 46
8 Aarhus Fremad 32 11 11 10 52:37 44
9 Hobro 32 11 9 12 40:43 42
10 Koge 32 11 7 14 42:48 40
11 Boldklubben 1893 32 10 7 15 44:58 37
12 Middelfart 32 3 6 23 32:77 15
Relegation - 2nd Division (Main)