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Stadium Background

Hobro vs Aalborg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

1st Division DS Arena, Hobro
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Andreasen S.
Assist: Huldahl M.
46'
Sub
Nwadike B. In: John K.
Out: Nwadike B.
58'
Sub
Kaasa M. In: Moller V.
Out: Kaasa M.

AI Match Summary

Hobro in this 1st Division matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hobro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Hobro
35%
Draws
32%
Aalborg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Aalborg haven't matched Hobro's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Aalborg a 32% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1st Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Hobro Clean Sheet 10%
Aalborg Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hobro Aalborg
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 11
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.45 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2026 1st Division
Aalborg vs Hobro
1:1
Aug 21, 2026 1st Division
Hobro vs Aalborg
2:1
May 1, 2026 1st Division
Aalborg vs Hobro
1:1
Apr 10, 2026 1st Division
Hobro vs Aalborg
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 1st Division
Hobro vs Aalborg
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hobro Compare

Top Goalscorer Andreasen S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dietz F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Aalborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Makolli E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hobro 26 / 100
Aalborg 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hobro Aalborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalborg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalborg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Hobro scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Hobro remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hobro VS Aalborg
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hobro

(Home)
30 Oct
Aalborg
1 : 1
Hobro
23 Oct
Hobro
2 : 2
Vendsyssel FF
17 Oct
Fredericia
3 : 0
Hobro
10 Oct
Hobro
1 : 1
Kolding IF
21 Sept
Koge
5 : 2
Hobro
Page 1 of 6

Aalborg

(Away)
06 Nov
Koge
1 : 1
Aalborg
30 Oct
Aalborg
1 : 1
Hobro
24 Oct
Hillerod
2 : 1
Aalborg
17 Oct
Aalborg
0 : 1
Vejle
10 Oct
Esbjerg
3 : 3
Aalborg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hvidovre IF 13 8 5 0 24:13 29
2 Vejle 14 7 6 1 26:16 27
3 Fredericia 14 6 5 3 21:10 23
4 AB Copenhagen 14 6 3 5 21:15 21
5 Aarhus Fremad 13 4 6 3 12:11 18
6 Aalborg 14 3 7 4 17:19 16
7 Hobro 13 4 4 5 16:23 16
8 Kolding IF 13 3 6 4 16:17 15
9 Hillerod 13 3 3 7 15:20 12
10 Koge 14 2 6 6 20:26 12
11 Vendsyssel FF 14 2 6 6 14:24 12
12 Esbjerg 13 2 5 6 16:24 11
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)