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Hobro vs Boldklubben 1893

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 DS Arena
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AI Match Summary

Hobro play Boldklubben 1893 in the 1st Division 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hobro averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. Boldklubben 1893 averaged 1.66 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. In past meetings, Hobro won 2, Boldklubben 1893 won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 8, 2026 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Hobro and 1.75 for Boldklubben 1893. This points to a Hobro double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Hobro
20%
Draws
35%
Boldklubben 1893
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hobro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Hobro picked up more points recently compared to Boldklubben 1893.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Hobro Clean Sheet 12%
Boldklubben 1893 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hobro Boldklubben 1893
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.25 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 1st Division
Hobro vs Boldklubben 1893
3:3
Apr 3, 2026 1st Division
Boldklubben 1893 vs Hobro
0:2
Nov 28, 2025 1st Division
Boldklubben 1893 vs Hobro
0:1
Aug 8, 2025 1st Division
Hobro vs Boldklubben 1893
1:4
Apr 25, 2025 1st Division
Boldklubben 1893 vs Hobro
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hobro Compare

Top Goalscorer Huldahl M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andreasen S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Boldklubben 1893 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wohlgemuth M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Voldby J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hobro 43 / 100
Boldklubben 1893 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hobro Boldklubben 1893

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hobro or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hobro attacking → ← attacking Boldklubben 1893

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hobro scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Boldklubben 1893 let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Hobro went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Boldklubben 1893 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 30
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
7Aalborg3212101050:4746
8Aarhus Fremad3211111052:3744
9Hobro321191240:4342
10Koge321171442:4840
11Boldklubben 1893321071544:5837
12Middelfart32362332:7715