Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hodd vs Stabaek

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Høddvoll Stadion, Ulsteinvik
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Solnordal O.
57' Event
Skotheim I.
(Penalty)
68'
Sub
Veum O. In: Skjelvik J.
Out: Veum O.

AI Match Summary

The OBOS-ligaen game between Hodd and Stabaek finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hodd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Hodd
15%
Draws
42%
Stabaek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hodd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Stabaek carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Stabaek's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Hodd Clean Sheet 10%
Stabaek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hodd Stabaek
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 14 21
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.52 2.52
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Hodd vs Stabaek
2:1
Jul 27, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Stabaek vs Hodd
6:0
Oct 25, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Hodd vs Stabaek
1:3
Mar 31, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Stabaek vs Hodd
1:1
Aug 25, 2013 OBOS-ligaen
Stabaek vs Hodd
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hodd Compare

Top Goalscorer Hanssen S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Stabaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanyang A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hodd 22 / 100
Stabaek 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hodd Stabaek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stabaek Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Hodd scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Stabaek conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.

Hodd went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hodd VS Stabaek
2.5 Goals Scored 3.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hodd

(Home)
30 Aug
Hodd
2 : 1
Stabaek
26 Aug
Stromsgodset
3 : 1
Hodd
22 Aug
Spjelkavik
1 : 2
Hodd
16 Aug
Hodd
4 : 3
Strommen
09 Aug
Sandnes Ulf
3 : 4
Hodd
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Stabaek

(Away)
30 Aug
Hodd
2 : 1
Stabaek
26 Aug
Stabaek
4 : 2
Ranheim
22 Aug
Heming
0 : 2
Stabaek
16 Aug
Egersund
0 : 4
Stabaek
08 Aug
Stabaek
4 : 3
Lyn
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 20 14 1 5 62:36 43
2 Kongsvinger 20 13 4 3 53:32 43
3 Stabaek 20 13 3 4 53:23 42
4 Stromsgodset 20 12 5 3 53:29 41
5 Hodd 20 10 3 7 35:36 33
6 Odds BK 20 9 5 6 40:32 32
7 Bryne 20 9 2 9 26:29 29
8 Egersund 20 8 3 9 33:37 27
9 Lyn 20 7 3 10 35:43 24
10 Ranheim 20 7 2 11 49:54 23
11 Sandnes Ulf 20 7 2 11 29:35 23
12 Sogndal 20 6 4 10 36:48 22
13 Strommen 20 6 3 11 30:47 21
14 Moss 20 5 4 11 32:45 19
15 Asane 20 5 3 12 30:44 17
16 Raufoss 20 5 1 14 23:49 16
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)