Sport Picks
Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Bundesliga SNP Arena, Sinsheim 
AI Match Summary
Hoffenheim host Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Hoffenheim have averaged 1.82 scored and 2.07 conceded recently, against Bayer Leverkusen's 2.48 scored and 1.22 conceded. Past meetings favor Bayer Leverkusen slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 2.63) point toward Bayer Leverkusen. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Bayer Leverkusen come out ahead of Hoffenheim on wins alone.
- Model gives Bayer Leverkusen a 69% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hoffenheim | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 2.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Hoffenheim scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Bayer Leverkusen conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.
Solid form: Hoffenheim remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Hoffenheim
(Home)Bayer Leverkusen
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Freiburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Bayern Munich | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16:4 | 11 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:8 | 10 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | 9 |
| 6 | Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | 8 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 9 | Mainz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:10 | 7 |
| 10 | Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 11 | 1. FC Koln | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 12 | VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 13 | Hamburger | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:15 | 6 |
| 14 | Schalke | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 15 | Paderborn | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 4 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:17 | 4 |
| 17 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:13 | 3 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:18 | 0 |
