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Hoffenheim vs Besiktas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League SNP Arena, Sinsheim
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Match Events

23'
Asllani F.
46'
Sub
Kokcu O. In: Miretti F.
Out: Kokcu O.
59'
Sub
Hlozek A. In: Lemperle T.
Out: Hlozek A.

AI Match Summary

The Europa League game between Hoffenheim and Besiktas finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Besiktas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Hoffenheim
30%
Draws
37%
Besiktas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Besiktas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Besiktas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Hoffenheim Clean Sheet 10%
Besiktas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hoffenheim Besiktas
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.77 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2026 Europa League
Hoffenheim vs Besiktas
2:3
Jul 27, 2016 Club Friendly
Hoffenheim vs Besiktas
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hoffenheim Compare

Top Goalscorer Asllani F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Machida K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Besiktas Compare

Top Goalscorer Oh Hyeon-Gyu
2 Goals
Assists Leader Murillo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hoffenheim 30 / 100
Besiktas 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hoffenheim Besiktas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Besiktas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hoffenheim scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Besiktas has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Hoffenheim went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hoffenheim VS Besiktas
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hoffenheim

(Home)
08 Nov
Hoffenheim
2 : 1
Schalke
05 Nov
Crystal Palace
1 : 1
Hoffenheim
31 Oct
Werder Bremen
2 : 0
Hoffenheim
28 Oct
Holstein Kiel
2 : 1
Hoffenheim
25 Oct
Hoffenheim
3 : 0
Bayer Leverkusen
Page 1 of 7

Besiktas

(Away)
08 Nov
Besiktas
3 : 0
Genclerbirligi
05 Nov
Celtic
3 : 2
Besiktas
01 Nov
Kasimpasa
2 : 2
Besiktas
26 Oct
Besiktas
2 : 0
Basaksehir
22 Oct
Besiktas
2 : 2
Crystal Palace
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 4 4 0 0 13:3 12
2 Bournemouth 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
3 Ferencvaros 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
4 Royale Union SG 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
5 Juventus 4 3 1 0 11:4 10
6 Olympiacos Piraeus 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
7 Bayer Leverkusen 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
8 Besiktas 4 2 1 1 11:8 7
9 Din. Zagreb 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
10 Levski Sofia 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
11 Sunderland 4 2 1 1 4:4 7
12 Nijmegen 4 2 1 1 8:9 7
13 Lyon 4 2 1 1 6:7 7
14 AZ Alkmaar 4 2 0 2 7:4 6
15 Anderlecht 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
16 OFI Crete 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
17 Rennes 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
18 Omonia 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
19 Torreense 4 2 0 2 7:9 6
20 Real Sociedad 4 1 2 1 9:4 5
21 Crystal Palace 4 1 2 1 9:6 5
22 Sparta Prague 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
23 Hoffenheim 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
24 Sturm Graz 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
25 Celje 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
26 Salzburg 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
27 Celta Vigo 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
28 AC Milan 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
29 Jagiellonia 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
30 Plzen 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
31 Marseille 4 1 0 3 2:6 3
32 Celtic 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
33 H. Beer Sheva 4 0 1 3 1:8 1
34 Lillestrom 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
35 Lech Poznan 4 0 1 3 2:12 1
36 Ararat-Armenia 4 0 0 4 4:14 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)