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Hoffenheim vs Greuther Furth

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Arthur Chaves
57' Event
Mokwa Ntusu D.
60' Event
Mokwa Ntusu D.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Hoffenheim and Greuther Furth finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hoffenheim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Hoffenheim
20%
Draws
50%
Greuther Furth
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Greuther Furth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hoffenheim come out ahead of Greuther Furth on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Hoffenheim taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Hoffenheim Clean Sheet 15%
Greuther Furth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hoffenheim Greuther Furth
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.87 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2025 Club Friendly
Hoffenheim vs Greuther Furth
3:0
Dec 20, 2022 Club Friendly
Hoffenheim vs Greuther Furth
3:3
Apr 17, 2022 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs Greuther Furth
0:0
Nov 27, 2021 Bundesliga
Greuther Furth vs Hoffenheim
3:6
Jul 24, 2021 Club Friendly
Hoffenheim vs Greuther Furth
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hoffenheim Compare

Top Goalscorer Mokwa Ntusu D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Arthur Chaves
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Greuther Furth Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hoffenheim 41 / 100
Greuther Furth 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hoffenheim Greuther Furth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hoffenheim found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Greuther Furth let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Hoffenheim stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hoffenheim VS Greuther Furth
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hoffenheim

(Home)
20 Sept
Paderborn
3 : 1
Hoffenheim
17 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 0
Hoffenheim
12 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 1
VfB Stuttgart
05 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 3
Dortmund
29 Aug
1. FC Koln
3 : 2
Hoffenheim
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Greuther Furth

(Away)
18 Sept
Greuther Furth
1 : 1
Magdeburg
12 Sept
Bochum
1 : 1
Greuther Furth
06 Sept
Greuther Furth
0 : 1
Heidenheim
29 Aug
Energie Cottbus
3 : 4
Greuther Furth
23 Aug
Greuther Furth
1 : 2
Bochum
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