Sport Picks
Hoffenheim vs Sturm Graz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Europe
Europa League SNP Arena, Sinsheim 
AI Match Summary
Hoffenheim host Sturm Graz in the Europa League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Hoffenheim have averaged 1.76 scored and 1.86 conceded recently, against Sturm Graz's 2.03 scored and 1.28 conceded. Head-to-head, Hoffenheim have won 1 to Sturm Graz's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2016, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.94) point toward Sturm Graz. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Hoffenheim haven't matched Sturm Graz's recent run of results.
- 41% — that's where the model lands on Hoffenheim taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hoffenheim | Sturm Graz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hoffenheim's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Sturm Graz let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Hoffenheim stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Hoffenheim
(Home)Sturm Graz
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 12 |
| 3 | Ferencvaros | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 4 | Royale Union SG | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:2 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 6 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 7 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 8 | Besiktas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 7 |
| 9 | Din. Zagreb | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 10 | Levski Sofia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 12 | Nijmegen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 13 | Lyon | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 15 | Anderlecht | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 16 | OFI Crete | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 17 | Rennes | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 18 | Omonia | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 19 | Torreense | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 20 | Real Sociedad | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 21 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 5 |
| 22 | Sparta Prague | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 23 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 24 | Sturm Graz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 25 | Celje | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 26 | Salzburg | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 27 | Celta Vigo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 | AC Milan | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 | Jagiellonia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 30 | Plzen | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 31 | Marseille | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 32 | Celtic | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 33 | H. Beer Sheva | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:8 | 1 |
| 34 | Lillestrom | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:10 | 1 |
| 35 | Lech Poznan | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:12 | 1 |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4:14 | 0 |
