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Hoffenheim W vs Carl Zeiss Jena W

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 Dietmar-Hopp Stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hoffenheim W play Carl Zeiss Jena W in the Bundesliga Women 2025/2026. Hoffenheim W are favorites here. Recently, Hoffenheim W averaged 2.48 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Carl Zeiss Jena W averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.39 conceded. In past meetings, Hoffenheim W won 5, Carl Zeiss Jena W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 20, 2025 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.31 for Hoffenheim W and 0.81 for Carl Zeiss Jena W. This points to a Hoffenheim W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Hoffenheim W
15%
Draws
17%
Carl Zeiss Jena W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hoffenheim W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • Hoffenheim W picked up more points recently compared to Carl Zeiss Jena W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.31 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Hoffenheim W Clean Sheet 26%
Carl Zeiss Jena W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hoffenheim W Carl Zeiss Jena W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 5
Draws 3 5
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 2.48 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Hoffenheim W vs Carl Zeiss Jena W
5:1
Sep 8, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Carl Zeiss Jena W vs Hoffenheim W
1:4
May 11, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Hoffenheim W vs Carl Zeiss Jena W
4:0
Jan 26, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Carl Zeiss Jena W vs Hoffenheim W
0:3
Mar 27, 2022 Bundesliga Women
Hoffenheim W vs Carl Zeiss Jena W
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hoffenheim W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cerci S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kossler M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Carl Zeiss Jena W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hoffenheim W 66 / 100
Carl Zeiss Jena W 17 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hoffenheim W Carl Zeiss Jena W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hoffenheim W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Hoffenheim W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.6%
1.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hoffenheim W attacking → ← attacking Carl Zeiss Jena W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hoffenheim W scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Carl Zeiss Jena W let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Hoffenheim W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Carl Zeiss Jena W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 20
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bayern Munich W26242090:974
2Wolfsburg W26184472:3858
3Eintracht Frankfurt W26163765:4351
4Hoffenheim W26144848:3046
5Bayer Leverkusen W261511046:3646
6Werder Bremen W26127742:3643
7Koln W261141136:3737
8Freiburg W261041244:4634
9Union Berlin W26861242:5130
10RB Leipzig W26771239:4828
111.FC Nurnberg W26641633:6122
12Hamburger W26461626:5718
13SGS Essen W26371622:6316
14Carl Zeiss Jena W26251922:7211