Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hogaborgs vs Lodde

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Touray A.
50' Event
Jassem N.
85' Event
El-Youssef A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024 game between Hogaborgs and Lodde finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hogaborgs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Hogaborgs
15%
Draws
59%
Lodde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lodde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hogaborgs come out ahead of Lodde on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lodde a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Hogaborgs Clean Sheet 17%
Lodde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hogaborgs Lodde
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.73 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.18 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Lodde vs Hogaborgs
3:4
Jun 16, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Hogaborgs vs Lodde
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hogaborgs Compare

Top Goalscorer Touray A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jassem N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Lodde Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hogaborgs 10 / 100
Lodde 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hogaborgs Lodde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lodde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lodde has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Hogaborgs found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

Hogaborgs has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hogaborgs VS Lodde
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Hogaborgs

(Home)
19 Aug
Hogaborgs
0 : 4
Oster
03 Jun
Hogaborgs
2 : 1
IFK Trelleborg
07 Feb
Angelholm
3 : 0
Hogaborgs
01 Nov
Hogaborgs
1 : 4
Staffanstorp United
25 Oct
Staffanstorp United
4 : 4
Hogaborgs
Page 1 of 7

Lodde

(Away)
21 Aug
Lodde
1 : 3
GAIS
04 Jun
Lodde
4 : 3
Rosengard
19 Oct
IFK Berga
1 : 4
Lodde
13 Oct
Lodde
3 : 4
Hogaborgs
05 Oct
Osterlen FF
0 : 3
Lodde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hassleholms IF 26 18 7 1 51:16 61
2 Kristianstad 26 16 6 4 58:28 54
3 Osterlen FF 26 14 3 9 50:45 45
4 Karlskrona 26 12 6 8 52:40 42
5 IFK Karlshamn 26 12 4 10 44:48 40
6 IFK Trelleborg 26 10 7 9 55:44 37
7 Hogaborgs 26 12 1 13 40:40 37
8 Rappe GOIF 26 9 8 9 33:35 35
9 Balkan 26 10 2 14 35:38 32
10 IFK Hassleholm 26 8 5 13 29:40 29
11 Nosaby IF 26 7 5 14 28:43 26
12 Simrishamn 26 7 5 14 33:56 26
13 Lodde 26 6 6 14 32:49 24
14 IFK Berga 26 7 3 16 34:52 24
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024 (Relegation)