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Hogaborgs vs Nosaby IF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Al Kafafi E.
52' Event
Rosenqvist V.
57' Event
Gehander V.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2025 game between Hogaborgs and Nosaby IF finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nosaby IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Hogaborgs
20%
Draws
51%
Nosaby IF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nosaby IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nosaby IF come out ahead of Hogaborgs on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Nosaby IF's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Hogaborgs Clean Sheet 10%
Nosaby IF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hogaborgs Nosaby IF
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.67 1.78
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Hogaborgs vs Nosaby IF
2:4
Jun 6, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Nosaby IF vs Hogaborgs
0:4
Oct 5, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Hogaborgs vs Nosaby IF
3:0
Jun 23, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Nosaby IF vs Hogaborgs
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hogaborgs Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Kafafi E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mansour A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Nosaby IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosenqvist V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gehander V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hogaborgs 18 / 100
Nosaby IF 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hogaborgs Nosaby IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nosaby IF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hogaborgs scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Nosaby IF let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Hogaborgs remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hogaborgs VS Nosaby IF
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hogaborgs

(Home)
19 Aug
Hogaborgs
0 : 4
Oster
03 Jun
Hogaborgs
2 : 1
IFK Trelleborg
07 Feb
Angelholm
3 : 0
Hogaborgs
01 Nov
Hogaborgs
1 : 4
Staffanstorp United
25 Oct
Staffanstorp United
4 : 4
Hogaborgs
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Nosaby IF

(Away)
20 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
0 : 0
Nosaby IF
12 Sept
Nosaby IF
1 : 3
IFK Berga
05 Sept
Oskarshamn
1 : 2
Nosaby IF
29 Aug
IFK Karlshamn
3 : 1
Nosaby IF
22 Aug
Nosaby IF
5 : 0
Torns
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kristianstad 26 18 4 4 47:22 58
2 Karlskrona 26 16 5 5 59:28 53
3 IFK Trelleborg 26 13 7 6 58:41 46
4 Solvesborgs 26 13 6 7 54:41 45
5 Vaxjo Norra 26 11 5 10 46:32 38
6 Rappe GOIF 26 9 10 7 29:32 37
7 Torns 26 10 4 12 30:46 34
8 Linero IF 26 10 3 13 39:45 33
9 Nosaby IF 26 9 6 11 41:48 33
10 IFK Karlshamn 26 10 2 14 31:43 32
11 Osterlen FF 26 9 3 14 41:43 30
12 Hogaborgs 26 8 4 14 43:53 28
13 IFK Hassleholm 26 6 4 16 36:58 22
14 Balkan 26 4 9 13 34:56 21
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2025 (Relegation)