Sport Picks

Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2025

Hogaborgs

2 - 4

Nosaby IF

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Al Kafafi E.

52'

Rosenqvist V.

57'

Gehander V.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2025 game between Hogaborgs and Nosaby IF finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nosaby IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Hogaborgs

28%

Draws

50%

Nosaby IF

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Nosaby IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Nosaby IF come out ahead of Hogaborgs on wins alone.
Win probability leans Nosaby IF's way, sitting at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%

Hogaborgs Clean Sheet 10%

Nosaby IF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hogaborgs	Nosaby IF
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	11
Draws	5	10
Losses	16	9
Goals Scored	1.75	1.5
Goals Conceded	3	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.00	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Hogaborgs vs Nosaby IF

Possession: 54% - 40% Cards: 0 - 2

2:4

Jun 6, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Nosaby IF vs Hogaborgs

Possession: 47% - 45% Cards: 2 - 4

0:4

Oct 5, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Hogaborgs vs Nosaby IF

Possession: 49% - 48% Cards: 0 - 0

3:0

Jun 23, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Nosaby IF vs Hogaborgs

Possession: 58% - 52% Cards: 0 - 0

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hogaborgs Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Kafafi E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mansour A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Nosaby IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosenqvist V.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Gehander V.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hogaborgs 22 / 100

Nosaby IF 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hogaborgs Nosaby IF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hogaborgs scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Nosaby IF let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Hogaborgs remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hogaborgs VS Nosaby IF

1.75 Goals Scored 1.5

3 Goals Conceded 1

100% Over 1.5 75%

100% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kristianstad	26	18	4	4	47:22	58
2	Karlskrona	26	16	5	5	59:28	53
3	IFK Trelleborg	26	13	7	6	58:41	46
4	Solvesborgs	26	13	6	7	54:41	45
5	Vaxjo Norra	26	11	5	10	46:32	38
6	Rappe GOIF	26	9	10	7	29:32	37
7	Torns	26	10	4	12	30:46	34
8	Linero IF	26	10	3	13	39:45	33
9	Nosaby IF	26	9	6	11	41:48	33
10	IFK Karlshamn	26	10	2	14	31:43	32
11	Osterlen FF	26	9	3	14	41:43	30
12	Hogaborgs	26	8	4	14	43:53	28
13	IFK Hassleholm	26	6	4	16	36:58	22
14	Balkan	26	4	9	13	34:56	21