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Hoganas vs Assyriska BK

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2022 game between Hoganas and Assyriska BK finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hoganas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Hoganas
15%
Draws
73%
Assyriska BK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Assyriska BK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

12% / Low Confidence
  • Hoganas haven't matched Assyriska BK's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Hoganas Clean Sheet 13%
Assyriska BK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hoganas Assyriska BK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 4
Draws 5 6
Losses 22 20
Goals Scored 1.07 0.7
Goals Conceded 2.77 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2022 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Assyriska BK vs Hoganas
3:2
Jun 18, 2022 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Hoganas vs Assyriska BK
2:1
Aug 25, 2021 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Assyriska BK vs Hoganas
2:4
Jun 9, 2021 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Hoganas vs Assyriska BK
3:3
Oct 16, 2016 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Hoganas vs Assyriska BK
6:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hoganas 30 / 100
Assyriska BK 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hoganas Assyriska BK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hoganas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Assyriska BK let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.80 goals per match.

Hoganas scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Assyriska BK has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hoganas VS Assyriska BK
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hoganas

(Home)
15 Oct
Torslanda
5 : 2
Hoganas
08 Oct
Hoganas
1 : 3
Onsala
01 Oct
Assyriska BK
3 : 2
Hoganas
24 Sept
Landvetter
4 : 0
Hoganas
17 Sept
Hoganas
2 : 2
Husqvarna
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Assyriska BK

(Away)
30 Oct
Assyriska BK
1 : 3
Tord
22 Oct
Tord
4 : 0
Assyriska BK
15 Oct
Assyriska BK
1 : 0
Ullareds IK
08 Oct
Hittarp
4 : 0
Assyriska BK
01 Oct
Assyriska BK
3 : 2
Hoganas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eskilsminne 26 21 1 4 62:15 64
2 BK Astrio 26 19 4 3 74:30 61
3 Husqvarna 26 17 6 3 50:16 57
4 Frolunda 26 16 4 6 49:32 52
5 Onsala 26 13 6 7 58:32 45
6 Savedalen 26 12 6 8 55:45 42
7 Hittarp 26 13 3 10 59:50 42
8 Torslanda 26 8 7 11 48:48 31
9 Varbergs GIF 26 8 4 14 37:54 28
10 Landvetter 26 8 3 15 36:46 27
11 Tolo IF 26 6 6 14 31:61 24
12 Assyriska BK 26 4 5 17 20:58 17
13 Hoganas 26 3 4 19 28:70 13
14 Ullareds IK 26 4 1 21 22:72 13
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2022 (Relegation)