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Hoganas vs BK Astrio

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

BK Astrio in this Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored BK Astrio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Hoganas
15%
Draws
64%
BK Astrio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BK Astrio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • BK Astrio have won more games recently than Hoganas.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and BK Astrio have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Hoganas Clean Sheet 20%
BK Astrio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hoganas BK Astrio
Matches Played 30 44
Wins 3 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 22 25
Goals Scored 1.07 1.61
Goals Conceded 2.77 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2022 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Hoganas vs BK Astrio
1:3
May 7, 2022 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
BK Astrio vs Hoganas
5:0
Nov 6, 2021 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Hoganas vs BK Astrio
1:1
Aug 29, 2021 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
BK Astrio vs Hoganas
2:0
Jun 8, 2019 Svenska Cupen
BK Astrio vs Hoganas
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hoganas 32 / 100
BK Astrio 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hoganas BK Astrio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hoganas's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

BK Astrio let in goals in 75% of their last 44 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

BK Astrio lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS BK Astrio
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hoganas

(Home)
15 Oct
Torslanda
5 : 2
Hoganas
08 Oct
Hoganas
1 : 3
Onsala
01 Oct
Assyriska BK
3 : 2
Hoganas
24 Sept
Landvetter
4 : 0
Hoganas
17 Sept
Hoganas
2 : 2
Husqvarna
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BK Astrio

(Away)
26 Sept
Galtabacks
3 : 6
BK Astrio
19 Sept
BK Astrio
0 : 2
Onsala
12 Sept
Kongahalla
5 : 1
BK Astrio
06 Sept
BK Astrio
1 : 2
Astorps
30 Aug
Jonsereds
4 : 2
BK Astrio
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eskilsminne 26 21 1 4 62:15 64
2 BK Astrio 26 19 4 3 74:30 61
3 Husqvarna 26 17 6 3 50:16 57
4 Frolunda 26 16 4 6 49:32 52
5 Onsala 26 13 6 7 58:32 45
6 Savedalen 26 12 6 8 55:45 42
7 Hittarp 26 13 3 10 59:50 42
8 Torslanda 26 8 7 11 48:48 31
9 Varbergs GIF 26 8 4 14 37:54 28
10 Landvetter 26 8 3 15 36:46 27
11 Tolo IF 26 6 6 14 31:61 24
12 Assyriska BK 26 4 5 17 20:58 17
13 Hoganas 26 3 4 19 28:70 13
14 Ullareds IK 26 4 1 21 22:72 13
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2022 (Relegation)