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Stadium Background

Hogo Hertha Wels vs SW Bregenz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

2. Liga Huber-Arena, Wels
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Sub
Rossi N. In: Araki D.
Out: Rossi N.
50'
Drammeh I.
53'
Haudum S.

AI Match Summary

Hogo Hertha Wels in this 2. Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hogo Hertha Wels.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Hogo Hertha Wels
15%
Draws
51%
SW Bregenz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SW Bregenz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SW Bregenz lately — more wins on the board than Hogo Hertha Wels.
  • SW Bregenz are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hogo Hertha Wels have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Hogo Hertha Wels Clean Sheet 10%
SW Bregenz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hogo Hertha Wels SW Bregenz
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 2. Liga
Hogo Hertha Wels vs SW Bregenz
1:0
Apr 24, 2026 2. Liga
SW Bregenz vs Hogo Hertha Wels
2:3
Nov 1, 2025 2. Liga
Hogo Hertha Wels vs SW Bregenz
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hogo Hertha Wels Compare

Top Goalscorer Kregar O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

SW Bregenz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hogo Hertha Wels 22 / 100
SW Bregenz 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hogo Hertha Wels SW Bregenz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SW Bregenz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hogo Hertha Wels scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

SW Bregenz has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

SW Bregenz's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hogo Hertha Wels VS SW Bregenz
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hogo Hertha Wels

(Home)
02 Oct
Hogo Hertha Wels
3 : 3
A. Salzburg
18 Sept
Hogo Hertha Wels
1 : 3
First Vienna
12 Sept
BW Linz
4 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
04 Sept
Kapfenberg
0 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
28 Aug
Hogo Hertha Wels
1 : 3
Admira
Page 1 of 6

SW Bregenz

(Away)
24 Sept
A. Lustenau
3 : 1
SW Bregenz
19 Sept
St. Polten
2 : 1
SW Bregenz
12 Sept
SW Bregenz
4 : 0
Floridsdorfer AC Wien
04 Sept
Floridsdorfer AC Wien
0 : 1
SW Bregenz
29 Aug
Austria Vienna (Am)
2 : 0
SW Bregenz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BW Linz 8 6 1 1 21:5 19
2 First Vienna 8 6 1 1 17:8 19
3 Austria Vienna (Am) 8 5 0 3 14:11 15
4 Amstetten 8 3 4 1 15:12 13
5 Floridsdorfer AC Wien 7 4 1 2 13:10 13
6 Wacker Innsbruck 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
7 A. Salzburg 7 3 1 3 14:12 10
8 FC Liefering 7 3 1 3 14:15 10
9 SW Bregenz 7 3 1 3 11:12 10
10 Admira 7 3 0 4 7:8 9
11 ASK Voitsberg 7 2 3 2 10:12 9
12 St. Polten 8 3 0 5 7:9 9
13 Sturm II 7 2 2 3 15:18 8
14 Rapid Vienna II 7 2 0 5 7:17 6
15 Hogo Hertha Wels 7 1 1 5 8:17 4
16 Kapfenberg 8 1 0 7 9:18 3
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)