Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hogsby vs IFK Berga

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2022
Hogsby Logo

Hogsby

1 - 3
FT
IFK Berga Logo

IFK Berga

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2022 game between Hogsby and IFK Berga finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IFK Berga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hogsby
20%
Draws
40%
IFK Berga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • IFK Berga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives IFK Berga a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Hogsby Clean Sheet 13%
IFK Berga Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hogsby IFK Berga
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.18 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2022 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Hogsby vs IFK Berga
1:3
Apr 9, 2022 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Berga vs Hogsby
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hogsby 19 / 100
IFK Berga 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hogsby IFK Berga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Berga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: IFK Berga conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Hogsby scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Hogsby has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS IFK Berga
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hogsby

(Home)
29 Oct
Hogsby
0 : 5
Simrishamn
22 Oct
Simrishamn
5 : 2
Hogsby
15 Oct
Rappe GOIF
1 : 3
Hogsby
08 Oct
Hogsby
1 : 1
AFC Malmo
01 Oct
IFK Hassleholm
0 : 2
Hogsby
Page 1 of 6

IFK Berga

(Away)
19 Sept
IFK Berga
4 : 1
IFK Karlshamn
12 Sept
Nosaby IF
1 : 3
IFK Berga
06 Sept
IFK Berga
1 : 3
Lilla Torg
30 Aug
Karlskrona
4 : 1
IFK Berga
22 Aug
IFK Berga
1 : 1
Staffanstorp United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AFC Malmo 26 15 5 6 51:24 50
2 IFK Berga 26 14 7 5 41:25 49
3 Rosengard 26 14 5 7 47:32 47
4 Hassleholms IF 26 13 5 8 58:30 44
5 Nosaby IF 26 11 7 8 34:34 40
6 Osterlen FF 26 11 5 10 38:34 38
7 Rappe GOIF 26 11 4 11 47:43 37
8 Kristianstad 26 10 7 9 41:40 37
9 IFK Hassleholm 26 10 6 10 40:40 36
10 Karlskrona 26 10 5 11 36:35 35
11 Balkan 26 8 5 13 31:47 29
12 Hogsby 26 8 4 14 31:52 28
13 Eslov 26 6 4 16 27:42 22
14 Asarum 26 6 1 19 32:76 19
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2022 (Relegation)