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Stadium Background

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Fukushima United

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Sapporo Atsubetsu Stadium, Sapporo
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Shimizu K.
46'
Sub
Sato Y. In: Hasegawa T.
Out: Sato Y.
46'
Sub
Omori S. In: Aoki R.
Out: Omori S.

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo and Fukushima United finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fukushima United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
40%
Draws
29%
Fukushima United
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo come out ahead of Fukushima United on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Fukushima United have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Clean Sheet 16%
Fukushima United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Fukushima United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 2 0
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 2.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 J2/J3 League
Fukushima United vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
0:3
Apr 4, 2026 J2/J3 League
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Fukushima United
0:2
Mar 26, 2025 J.League Cup
Fukushima United vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
6:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Fukushima United Compare

Top Goalscorer Shimizu K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 31 / 100
Fukushima United 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Fukushima United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Fukushima United let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.67 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo VS Fukushima United
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

(Home)
25 Jul
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 0
Nagoya Grampus
18 Jul
Vissel Kobe
1 : 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
06 Jun
Albirex Niigata
1 : 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
31 May
Blaublitz
2 : 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
23 May
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
0 : 1
Iwata
Page 1 of 6

Fukushima United

(Away)
07 Jun
Fukushima United
2 : 1
Ryukyu
01 Jun
Vanraure
0 : 1
Fukushima United
24 May
Matsumoto Yamaga
3 : 4
Fukushima United
16 May
Fukushima United
0 : 3
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
10 May
Fukushima United
4 : 2
Iwata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai18160237:1543
2Blaublitz18110723:1635
3Shonan Bellmare18110728:2031
4Yokohama FC18100836:2829
5SC Sagamihara1890933:3628
6Thespakusatsu Gunma18701127:3923
7Montedio Yamagata18801022:2522
8Tochigi City18701122:3521
9Vanraure17501216:2318
10Tochigi SC17501224:3117
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kofu17110620:1233
2Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo18110728:2231
3Iwaki18110726:2031
4Omiya Ardija18100839:2930
5Fujieda MYFC1890924:2330
6Gifu1790823:2527
7Matsumoto Yamaga18801033:2526
8Iwata1890920:2525
9Fukushima United18601230:4318
10Nagano Parceiro18501317:3616
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Toyama18130540:2638
2Albirex Niigata18120624:1935
3Tokushima18110738:2332
4Kochi United18100825:2330
5Ehime1890926:2028
6Kanazawa18100820:2327
7Nara Club18701127:3621
8FC Osaka18601218:2320
9Imabari18601215:2120
10Kamatamare Sanuki18601215:3419
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tegevajaro Miyazaki18150335:1347
2Kagoshima United18120627:1633
3Sagan Tosu18100826:1832
4Renofa Yamaguchi18100827:2429
5Kumamoto1890921:2127
6Gainare Tottori18100824:2527
7Oita Trinita18701119:2022
8Reilac Shiga18701116:2921
9Ryukyu18601217:2817
10Giravanz Kitakyushu18401417:3515
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)