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Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Iwaki Prediction & H2H Stats

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Sapporo Atsubetsu Stadium, Sapporo
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Logo

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

2 - 1
FT
Iwaki Logo

Iwaki

Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Arano T.
50'
Shota K.
64'
Sub
Owie W. In: Kato T.
Out: Owie W.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo and Iwaki finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
20%
Draws
60%
Iwaki
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iwaki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Iwaki come out ahead of Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Iwaki taking it.
  • Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Clean Sheet 13%
Iwaki Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Iwaki
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 15
Draws 3 0
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.34 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 J2/J3 League
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Iwaki
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 J2/J3 League
Iwaki vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 J2 League
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Iwaki
1:5
May 11, 2025 J2 League
Iwaki vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1:1
Jun 21, 2017 Emperors Cup
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Iwaki
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ieizumi R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Omori S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Iwaki Compare

Top Goalscorer Yamanaka A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 22 / 100
Iwaki 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Iwaki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iwaki Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Iwaki has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Away concern: Iwaki has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo VS Iwaki
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

(Home)
29 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 2
Okayama
26 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
19 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 1
Oita Trinita
13 Sept
Vegalta Sendai
1 : 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
06 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 4
Tochigi City
Page 1 of 6

Iwaki

(Away)
26 Sept
Iwaki
0 : 2
Vegalta Sendai
19 Sept
Sagan Tosu
1 : 3
Iwaki
12 Sept
Iwaki
2 : 0
Yokohama FC
05 Sept
Tokushima
1 : 0
Iwaki
02 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 0
Iwaki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)