Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Sapporo Atsubetsu Stadium

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

2 - 1

Iwaki

Our Tip

Match Events

43'

Arano T.

50'

Shota K.

64'

Sub

Owie W. In: Kato T.

Out: Owie W.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo and Iwaki finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

39%

Draws

31%

Iwaki

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Iwaki come out ahead of Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo on wins alone.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Clean Sheet 68%

Iwaki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	Iwaki
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	14	18
Draws	1	2
Losses	14	10
Goals Scored	2.13	1
Goals Conceded	1	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 J2/J3 League

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Iwaki

Possession: 57% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Feb 8, 2026 J2/J3 League

Iwaki vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Possession: 59% - 47% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Sep 13, 2025 J2 League

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Iwaki

Possession: 56% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

1:5

May 11, 2025 J2 League

Iwaki vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Possession: 56% - 54% Cards: 2 - 4

1:1

Jun 21, 2017 Emperors Cup

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Iwaki

Possession: 59% - 42% Cards: 0 - 1

2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ieizumi R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Omori S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Iwaki Compare

Top Goalscorer Yamanaka A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 41 / 100

Iwaki 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Iwaki

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOK Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Iwaki has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo VS Iwaki

2.13 Goals Scored 1

1 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 50%

75% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15