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Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Oita Trinita - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League Sapporo Dome, Sapporo
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Nishimura Y.
47' Event
Arima K.
Assist: Utsumoto S.
55'
Sub
Shirai H. In: Aoki R.
Out: Shirai H.

AI Match Summary

The J2 League game between Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo and Oita Trinita finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
35%
Draws
45%
Oita Trinita
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Oita Trinita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Oita Trinita haven't matched Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Clean Sheet 18%
Oita Trinita Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Oita Trinita
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.38 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 J2 League
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Oita Trinita
1:1
Feb 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Oita Trinita vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 J2 League
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Oita Trinita
3:1
Jun 18, 2025 Emperors Cup
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Oita Trinita
2:3
Feb 16, 2025 J2 League
Oita Trinita vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Compare

Top Goalscorer Aoki R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Oita Trinita Compare

Top Goalscorer Arima K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 32 / 100
Oita Trinita 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Oita Trinita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oita Trinita Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Oita Trinita has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo VS Oita Trinita
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

(Home)
10 Oct
Iwata
1 : 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
04 Oct
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
2 : 1
Iwaki
29 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 2
Okayama
26 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
19 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 1
Oita Trinita
Page 1 of 6

Oita Trinita

(Away)
10 Oct
Yokohama FC
1 : 2
Oita Trinita
03 Oct
Oita Trinita
2 : 1
Montedio Yamagata
26 Sept
Oita Trinita
1 : 1
Fujieda MYFC
19 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 1
Oita Trinita
12 Sept
Omiya Ardija
0 : 0
Oita Trinita
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
2 Omiya Ardija 10 5 5 0 20:9 20
3 Albirex Niigata 10 6 2 2 14:14 20
4 Toyama 10 5 3 2 19:10 18
5 Yokohama FC 10 5 2 3 19:13 17
6 Shonan Bellmare 10 4 5 1 11:9 17
7 Oita Trinita 10 3 5 2 11:8 14
8 Fujieda MYFC 10 3 4 3 13:11 13
9 Blaublitz 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
10 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 10 3 4 3 14:14 13
11 Iwata 10 4 1 5 12:13 13
12 Tokushima 10 4 1 5 10:12 13
13 Montedio Yamagata 10 4 0 6 11:9 12
14 Iwaki 10 4 0 6 13:17 12
15 Sagan Tosu 10 3 2 5 9:12 11
16 Tochigi City 10 3 1 6 16:17 10
17 Imabari 10 3 1 6 11:19 10
18 Kofu 10 3 1 6 9:18 10
19 Vanraure 10 3 1 6 6:17 10
20 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 10 2 2 6 12:19 8
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