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Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Shonan Bellmare - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League Sapporo Dome, Sapporo
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo host Shonan Bellmare in the J2 League. This one's hard to separate. Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against Shonan Bellmare's 1.24 scored and 1.28 conceded. Past meetings favor Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 9, 2024, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.44) point toward Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
35%
Draws
20%
Shonan Bellmare
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo have won more games recently than Shonan Bellmare.
  • Model gives Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Clean Sheet 16%
Shonan Bellmare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Shonan Bellmare
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2024 J1 League
Shonan Bellmare vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1:1
Apr 27, 2024 J1 League
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Shonan Bellmare
3:3
Sep 16, 2023 J1 League
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Shonan Bellmare
0:1
May 13, 2023 J1 League
Shonan Bellmare vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
2:4
Aug 7, 2022 J1 League
Shonan Bellmare vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 75 / 100
Shonan Bellmare 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Shonan Bellmare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Shonan Bellmare let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo VS Shonan Bellmare
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

(Home)
21 Oct
Montedio Yamagata
0 : 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
17 Oct
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 0
Blaublitz
10 Oct
Iwata
1 : 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
04 Oct
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
2 : 1
Iwaki
29 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 2
Okayama
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Shonan Bellmare

(Away)
21 Oct
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 1
Iwaki
17 Oct
Toyama
1 : 1
Shonan Bellmare
11 Oct
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 1
Albirex Niigata
07 Oct
FC Tokyo
4 : 0
Shonan Bellmare
03 Oct
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 1
Shonan Bellmare
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 12 8 3 1 21:9 27
2 Albirex Niigata 12 7 2 3 17:20 23
3 Toyama 12 6 4 2 23:11 22
4 Yokohama FC 12 6 3 3 23:14 21
5 Omiya Ardija 12 5 5 2 21:14 20
6 Shonan Bellmare 12 4 7 1 13:11 19
7 Oita Trinita 12 4 6 2 16:9 18
8 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 12 4 5 3 17:16 17
9 Iwaki 12 5 1 6 19:18 16
10 Fujieda MYFC 12 3 6 3 15:13 15
11 Iwata 12 4 3 5 13:14 15
12 Sagan Tosu 12 4 2 6 12:15 14
13 Tokushima 12 4 2 6 10:13 14
14 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
15 Vanraure 12 4 2 6 10:20 14
16 Montedio Yamagata 12 4 1 7 11:11 13
17 Blaublitz 12 3 4 5 13:14 13
18 Tochigi City 12 3 3 6 19:20 12
19 Imabari 12 3 2 7 15:25 11
20 Kofu 12 3 1 8 9:26 10
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)