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Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Tochigi City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League Sapporo Dome, Sapporo
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Sarachat S.
28' Event
Koike Y.
35'
Teruyama H.

AI Match Summary

The J2 League game between Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo and Tochigi City finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tochigi City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
15%
Draws
0%
Tochigi City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Tochigi City's 1.55 goals per match outpaces what Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo have produced (1.38).
  • Model gives Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Clean Sheet 16%
Tochigi City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Tochigi City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 3 1
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 J2 League
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Tochigi City
1:4
Jun 12, 2024 Emperors Cup
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Tochigi City
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Compare

Top Goalscorer Shirai H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Tochigi City Compare

Top Goalscorer Koike Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nishiya K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 75 / 100
Tochigi City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Tochigi City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Tochigi City's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Defensive concern: Tochigi City conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo VS Tochigi City
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

(Home)
10 Oct
Iwata
1 : 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
04 Oct
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
2 : 1
Iwaki
29 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 2
Okayama
26 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
19 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 1
Oita Trinita
Page 1 of 6

Tochigi City

(Away)
10 Oct
Kofu
2 : 1
Tochigi City
03 Oct
Tochigi City
1 : 2
Imabari
29 Sept
Tochigi City
0 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
26 Sept
Tokushima
3 : 0
Tochigi City
23 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1
Tochigi City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
2 Omiya Ardija 10 5 5 0 20:9 20
3 Albirex Niigata 10 6 2 2 14:14 20
4 Toyama 10 5 3 2 19:10 18
5 Yokohama FC 10 5 2 3 19:13 17
6 Shonan Bellmare 10 4 5 1 11:9 17
7 Oita Trinita 10 3 5 2 11:8 14
8 Fujieda MYFC 10 3 4 3 13:11 13
9 Blaublitz 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
10 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 10 3 4 3 14:14 13
11 Iwata 10 4 1 5 12:13 13
12 Tokushima 10 4 1 5 10:12 13
13 Montedio Yamagata 10 4 0 6 11:9 12
14 Iwaki 10 4 0 6 13:17 12
15 Sagan Tosu 10 3 2 5 9:12 11
16 Tochigi City 10 3 1 6 16:17 10
17 Imabari 10 3 1 6 11:19 10
18 Kofu 10 3 1 6 9:18 10
19 Vanraure 10 3 1 6 6:17 10
20 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 10 2 2 6 12:19 8
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