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Holbaek vs Odder

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Nedergaard F.
28' Event
Hassan Ahmad A.
32' Event
El Haddouchi K.

AI Match Summary

Holbaek in this 3rd Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Holbaek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Holbaek
20%
Draws
29%
Odder
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Holbaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Holbaek lately — more wins on the board than Odder.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Holbaek taking it.
  • Regular 3rd Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Holbaek have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Holbaek Clean Sheet 13%
Odder Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holbaek Odder
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.5 2.38
Goals Conceded 1 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 3rd Division
Holbaek vs Odder
4:2
Apr 11, 2026 3rd Division
Odder vs Holbaek
1:4
Oct 18, 2025 3rd Division
Odder vs Holbaek
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 3rd Division
Holbaek vs Odder
0:0
May 17, 2025 3rd Division
Holbaek vs Odder
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holbaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Olsen M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hassan Ahmad A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Odder Compare

Top Goalscorer Nedergaard F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hansen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holbaek 39 / 100
Odder 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holbaek Odder

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holbaek found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Odder conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Holbaek stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holbaek VS Odder
2.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Holbaek

(Home)
04 Aug
Holbaek
1 : 2
AB Copenhagen
01 Aug
Holbaek
2 : 1
BK Frem
18 Jul
Hellerup
1 : 3
Holbaek
14 Jul
Boldklubben 1893
3 : 1
Holbaek
13 Jun
Holbaek
1 : 0
Vejgaard
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Odder

(Away)
05 Aug
Odder
2 : 3
Skive
13 Jun
Lyseng
3 : 2
Odder
06 Jun
Odder
2 : 2
BK Frem
30 May
Sundby
3 : 3
Odder
22 May
Odder
2 : 0
Vejgaard
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