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Holbaek vs Odder

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Nedergaard F.
28' Event
Hassan Ahmad A.
32' Event
El Haddouchi K.

AI Match Summary

Holbaek in this 3rd Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Holbaek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Holbaek
20%
Draws
29%
Odder
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Holbaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Holbaek lately — more wins on the board than Odder.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Holbaek taking it.
  • Regular 3rd Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Holbaek have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Holbaek Clean Sheet 13%
Odder Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holbaek Odder
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 21 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.31 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 3rd Division
Holbaek vs Odder
4:2
Apr 11, 2026 3rd Division
Odder vs Holbaek
1:4
Oct 18, 2025 3rd Division
Odder vs Holbaek
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 3rd Division
Holbaek vs Odder
0:0
May 17, 2025 3rd Division
Holbaek vs Odder
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holbaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Olsen M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hassan Ahmad A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Odder Compare

Top Goalscorer Nedergaard F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hansen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holbaek 57 / 100
Odder 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holbaek Odder

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holbaek Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holbaek found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Odder conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Holbaek stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holbaek VS Odder
2.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Holbaek

(Home)
25 Sept
Helsingor
5 : 1
Holbaek
18 Sept
Holbaek
5 : 2
Ringsted
13 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
3 : 1
Holbaek
05 Sept
Ishoj IF
0 : 4
Holbaek
29 Aug
Holbaek
3 : 2
Naesby
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Odder

(Away)
05 Aug
Odder
2 : 3
Skive
13 Jun
Lyseng
3 : 2
Odder
06 Jun
Odder
2 : 2
BK Frem
30 May
Sundby
3 : 3
Odder
22 May
Odder
2 : 0
Vejgaard
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