Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Holbaek vs Ringsted

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Larsen J.
23' Event
Garly M.
33' Event
Al Atlassi M.

AI Match Summary

Holbaek in this 3rd Division matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Holbaek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Holbaek
15%
Draws
17%
Ringsted
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holbaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Holbaek have won more games recently than Ringsted.
  • Model gives Holbaek a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3rd Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Holbaek Clean Sheet 19%
Ringsted Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holbaek Ringsted
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 22 7
Draws 3 4
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 2.63 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 3rd Division
Holbaek vs Ringsted
5:2
Feb 18, 2025 Club Friendly
Holbaek vs Ringsted
8:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holbaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Garly M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Atlassi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Ringsted Compare

Top Goalscorer Larsen J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holbaek 85 / 100
Ringsted 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holbaek Ringsted

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holbaek Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Holbaek scored in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Ringsted let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

Holbaek went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holbaek VS Ringsted
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Holbaek

(Home)
18 Sept
Holbaek
5 : 2
Ringsted
13 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
3 : 1
Holbaek
05 Sept
Ishoj IF
0 : 4
Holbaek
29 Aug
Holbaek
3 : 2
Naesby
21 Aug
Bronshoj
1 : 4
Holbaek
Page 1 of 6

Ringsted

(Away)
18 Sept
Holbaek
5 : 2
Ringsted
13 Sept
Ringsted
1 : 3
Bronshoj
04 Sept
BK Frem
5 : 2
Ringsted
29 Aug
Ringsted
2 : 0
Sundby
22 Aug
Vanlose
2 : 0
Ringsted
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holbaek 8 6 1 1 23:12 19
2 Vanlose 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
3 Bronshoj 7 4 2 1 11:7 14
4 ASA Aarhus 7 4 1 2 10:6 13
5 Holstebro 7 4 1 2 15:13 13
6 Helsingor 7 4 1 2 11:9 13
7 Naesby 7 3 1 3 13:12 10
8 BK Frem 7 2 2 3 14:12 8
9 Horsholm-Usserod 7 2 2 3 15:15 8
10 Sundby 7 1 1 5 9:15 4
11 Ringsted 8 1 1 6 10:23 4
12 Ishoj IF 7 0 1 6 1:14 1
Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 3rd Division (Relegation Group)