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Holbaek vs Sundby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Trkulja K.
56' Event
Andersen A.
59' Event
El Haddouchi K.

AI Match Summary

The 3rd Division game between Holbaek and Sundby finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holbaek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Holbaek
15%
Draws
32%
Sundby
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holbaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Sundby haven't matched Holbaek's recent run of results.
  • Holbaek are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Holbaek Clean Sheet 16%
Sundby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holbaek Sundby
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 23 11
Draws 2 6
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 2.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 3rd Division
Holbaek vs Sundby
2:1
Jun 4, 2026 3rd Division
Sundby vs Holbaek
1:5
May 2, 2026 3rd Division
Holbaek vs Sundby
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 3rd Division
Holbaek vs Sundby
2:2
Aug 22, 2025 3rd Division
Sundby vs Holbaek
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holbaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersen A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Haddouchi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sundby Compare

Top Goalscorer Trkulja K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holbaek 66 / 100
Sundby 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holbaek Sundby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holbaek Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Holbaek scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Sundby conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Holbaek stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holbaek VS Sundby
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Holbaek

(Home)
31 Oct
Holbaek
0 : 1
Vanlose
24 Oct
Naesby
1 : 2
Holbaek
17 Oct
Holbaek
4 : 0
Holstebro
10 Oct
Vanlose
0 : 0
Holbaek
03 Oct
Holbaek
2 : 1
ASA Aarhus
Page 1 of 6

Sundby

(Away)
31 Oct
Horsholm-Usserod
3 : 2
Sundby
23 Oct
Sundby
3 : 1
Bronshoj
17 Oct
ASA Aarhus
1 : 2
Sundby
09 Oct
Sundby
2 : 3
Ishoj IF
03 Oct
Sundby
0 : 1
Vanlose
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bronshoj 15 9 4 2 31:18 31
2 Holbaek 15 9 2 4 33:22 29
3 Vanlose 14 7 6 1 20:11 27
4 Helsingor 15 7 4 4 23:18 25
5 Horsholm-Usserod 14 6 4 4 32:24 22
6 Naesby 14 5 3 6 24:22 18
7 Ishoj IF 14 5 3 6 17:22 18
8 Sundby 15 5 2 8 24:25 17
9 ASA Aarhus 14 5 2 7 18:21 17
10 BK Frem 14 3 6 5 23:23 15
11 Holstebro 14 4 1 9 18:37 13
12 Ringsted 14 1 3 10 17:37 6
Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 3rd Division (Relegation Group)