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Holbaek vs Svendborg

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Thrane C.

AI Match Summary

The 2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between Holbaek and Svendborg finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holbaek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Holbaek
6%
Draws
4%
Svendborg
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Holbaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Holbaek come out ahead of Svendborg on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Holbaek's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Holbaek Clean Sheet 19%
Svendborg Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holbaek Svendborg
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2017 2nd Division - Group 1
Svendborg vs Holbaek
2:1
Apr 9, 2017 2nd Division - Group 1
Holbaek vs Svendborg
1:0
Jun 18, 2016 2nd Division - Group 3
Holbaek vs Svendborg
1:2
Apr 23, 2016 2nd Division - Group 3
Svendborg vs Holbaek
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holbaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Thrane C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Svendborg Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holbaek 85 / 100
Svendborg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holbaek Svendborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holbaek's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Svendborg conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Holbaek has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Holbaek VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Holbaek

(Home)
18 Jul
Hellerup
1 : 3
Holbaek
14 Jul
Boldklubben 1893
3 : 1
Holbaek
13 Jun
Holbaek
1 : 0
Vejgaard
04 Jun
Sundby
1 : 5
Holbaek
30 May
Holbaek
2 : 1
Lyseng
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Svendborg

(Away)
17 Jun
Hellerup
2 : 2
Svendborg
10 Jun
Svendborg
2 : 5
Odder
05 Jun
Svendborg
2 : 1
Holbaek
01 Jun
Fredensborg
0 : 1
Svendborg
27 May
Svendborg
0 : 2
Vejgaard
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