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Holbaek vs Svendborg

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Thrane C.

AI Match Summary

The 2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between Holbaek and Svendborg finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holbaek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Holbaek
15%
Draws
31%
Svendborg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holbaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Holbaek come out ahead of Svendborg on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Holbaek's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Holbaek Clean Sheet 20%
Svendborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holbaek Svendborg
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 22 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 2.3 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2017 2nd Division - Group 1
Svendborg vs Holbaek
2:1
Apr 9, 2017 2nd Division - Group 1
Holbaek vs Svendborg
1:0
Jun 18, 2016 2nd Division - Group 3
Holbaek vs Svendborg
1:2
Apr 23, 2016 2nd Division - Group 3
Svendborg vs Holbaek
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holbaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Thrane C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Svendborg Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holbaek 85 / 100
Svendborg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holbaek Svendborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holbaek Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holbaek's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: Svendborg conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Holbaek has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Holbaek VS -
2.88 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Holbaek

(Home)
18 Sept
Holbaek
5 : 2
Ringsted
13 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
3 : 1
Holbaek
05 Sept
Ishoj IF
0 : 4
Holbaek
29 Aug
Holbaek
3 : 2
Naesby
21 Aug
Bronshoj
1 : 4
Holbaek
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Svendborg

(Away)
17 Jun
Hellerup
2 : 2
Svendborg
10 Jun
Svendborg
2 : 5
Odder
05 Jun
Svendborg
2 : 1
Holbaek
01 Jun
Fredensborg
0 : 1
Svendborg
27 May
Svendborg
0 : 2
Vejgaard
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