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Holbaek vs Tarnby FF

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
32' Event
63' Event

AI Match Summary

Holbaek in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Holbaek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Holbaek
15%
Draws
40%
Tarnby FF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holbaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Holbaek lately — more wins on the board than Tarnby FF.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Holbaek Clean Sheet 10%
Tarnby FF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holbaek Tarnby FF
Matches Played 32 26
Wins 20 8
Draws 6 2
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2.09 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Holbaek vs Tarnby FF
3:1
Jan 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Tarnby FF vs Holbaek
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holbaek 34 / 100
Tarnby FF 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holbaek Tarnby FF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tarnby FF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holbaek scored in 94% of their last 32 games.

Tarnby FF let in goals in 81% of their last 26 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Holbaek went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holbaek VS Tarnby FF
2.88 Goals Scored 4
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Holbaek

(Home)
15 Aug
Holbaek
2 : 1
Sundby
08 Aug
Holstebro
2 : 2
Holbaek
04 Aug
Holbaek
1 : 2
AB Copenhagen
01 Aug
Holbaek
2 : 1
BK Frem
18 Jul
Hellerup
1 : 3
Holbaek
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Tarnby FF

(Away)
11 Aug
Frederiksholm
1 : 8
Tarnby FF
14 Feb
Vanlose
3 : 2
Tarnby FF
10 Feb
Holbaek
3 : 1
Tarnby FF
31 Jan
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
0 : 1
Tarnby FF
24 Jan
Bronshoj
2 : 3
Tarnby FF
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