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Holland Park Hawks vs Broadbeach Utd.

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Whites Hill Reserve
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Holland Park Hawks play Broadbeach Utd. in the Queensland Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Holland Park Hawks averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Broadbeach Utd. averaged 2.43 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Holland Park Hawks won 0, Broadbeach Utd. won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 6, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Holland Park Hawks and 2.50 for Broadbeach Utd.. This points to a Broadbeach Utd. double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Holland Park Hawks
16%
Draws
54%
Broadbeach Utd.
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Broadbeach Utd.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Holland Park Hawks picked up more points recently compared to Broadbeach Utd..
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 2.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72%
Holland Park Hawks Clean Sheet 10%
Broadbeach Utd. Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holland Park Hawks Broadbeach Utd.
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 19
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 2
Goals Scored 1.8 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Broadbeach Utd. vs Holland Park Hawks
1:0
Mar 7, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs Broadbeach Utd.
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Broadbeach Utd. vs Holland Park Hawks
2:1
Jul 29, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs Broadbeach Utd.
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holland Park Hawks Compare

Top Goalscorer Lambourne C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Broadbeach Utd. Compare

Top Goalscorer De Vita P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mitchell E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holland Park Hawks 29 / 100
Broadbeach Utd. 51 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holland Park Hawks Broadbeach Utd.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Broadbeach Utd. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Broadbeach Utd. & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Holland Park Hawks attacking → ← attacking Broadbeach Utd.

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holland Park Hawks scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Broadbeach Utd. let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Holland Park Hawks went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Broadbeach Utd. lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 66
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Broadbeach Utd.17143046:1545
2Brisbane Strikers17133142:1442
3Sunshine Coast Wanderers1785436:2229
4Ipswich1784527:2428
5Caboolture1782734:3026
6Robina City1774628:2025
7Redlands1773734:3124
8Holland Park Hawks1772829:3323
9Logan Lightning1762930:3320
10North Star17321216:3711
11St. George Willawong17311310:3910
12Capalaba FC17211416:507