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Holland Park Hawks vs Capalaba FC

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Whites Hill Reserve
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Match Events

29' Event
Wieser K.
(Penalty)
51' Event
Edgar A.
77' Event
Park J.

AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League game between Holland Park Hawks and Capalaba FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holland Park Hawks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Holland Park Hawks
6%
Draws
4%
Capalaba FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Holland Park Hawks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Holland Park Hawks come out ahead of Capalaba FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Holland Park Hawks a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Holland Park Hawks Clean Sheet 16%
Capalaba FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holland Park Hawks Capalaba FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 5
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.38 3.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 3.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs Capalaba FC
2:1
Aug 2, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs Capalaba FC
2:3
Apr 29, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Capalaba FC vs Holland Park Hawks
3:4
Jun 22, 2019 Queensland Premier League
Capalaba FC vs Holland Park Hawks
5:2
Apr 6, 2019 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs Capalaba FC
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holland Park Hawks Compare

Top Goalscorer Park J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Capalaba FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Edgar A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holland Park Hawks 84 / 100
Capalaba FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holland Park Hawks Capalaba FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holland Park Hawks's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Capalaba FC let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Holland Park Hawks stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holland Park Hawks VS Capalaba FC
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Broadbeach Utd.18144047:1646
2Brisbane Strikers18143144:1445
3Sunshine Coast Wanderers1885536:2429
4Robina City1884630:2028
5Ipswich1884629:2728
6Caboolture1883735:3127
7Redlands1874735:3225
8Holland Park Hawks1873829:3324
9Logan Lightning1872933:3523
10North Star18331216:3712
11St. George Willawong18311410:4110
12Capalaba FC18221417:518