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Holland Park Hawks vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Whites Hill Reserve
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Kerry O.
35' Event
Seelig H.
52' Event
Humphreys N.

AI Match Summary

Holland Park Hawks in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Holland Park Hawks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Holland Park Hawks
22%
Draws
60%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sunshine Coast Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Sunshine Coast Wanderers haven't matched Holland Park Hawks's recent run of results.
  • Sunshine Coast Wanderers are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Holland Park Hawks Clean Sheet 10%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holland Park Hawks Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.75 2.75
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
3:2
Feb 28, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Holland Park Hawks
1:1
Jun 15, 2019 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1:6
Apr 28, 2019 Queensland Premier League
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Holland Park Hawks
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holland Park Hawks Compare

Top Goalscorer Seelig H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Humphreys N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Sunshine Coast Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Kerry O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McDougall K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holland Park Hawks 18 / 100
Sunshine Coast Wanderers 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holland Park Hawks Sunshine Coast Wanderers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Holland Park Hawks scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Sunshine Coast Wanderers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Holland Park Hawks went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holland Park Hawks VS Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1.75 Goals Scored 2.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brisbane Strikers19153146:1548
2Broadbeach Utd.19144148:1846
3Ipswich1994632:2931
4Sunshine Coast Wanderers1986538:2630
5Robina City1884630:2028
6Caboolture1983835:3227
7Redlands1874735:3225
8Logan Lightning1973935:3724
9Holland Park Hawks1873829:3324
10St. George Willawong19411411:4113
11North Star19331318:4012
12Capalaba FC18221417:518