Sport Picks
Hollenbach vs TSV Essingen
Germany
Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2025/2026 game between Hollenbach and TSV Essingen finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hollenbach.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
20%
58%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TSV Essingen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and TSV Essingen come out ahead of Hollenbach on wins alone.
- Win probability leans TSV Essingen's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Hollenbach have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Hollenbach Clean Sheet 10%
TSV Essingen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hollenbach | TSV Essingen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 15 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 2.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Hollenbach vs TSV Essingen
2:1
Oct 3, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
TSV Essingen vs Hollenbach
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
TSV Essingen vs Hollenbach
0:4
Aug 31, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Hollenbach vs TSV Essingen
1:0
May 8, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Hollenbach vs TSV Essingen
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hollenbach 10 / 100
TSV Essingen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hollenbach TSV Essingen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TSV Essingen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hollenbach scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: TSV Essingen conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Hollenbach has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Hollenbach VS TSV Essingen
1.25 Goals Scored 2
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Hollenbach
(Home) 25 Jul
Hollenbach
0 : 5 VfB Stuttgart
04 Jul
Hollenbach
0 : 4 Ansbach
30 May
Hollenbach
4 : 3 1. CfR Pforzheim
23 May
Turkspor Neckarsulm
2 : 0 Hollenbach
16 May
Hollenbach
1 : 2 FC 08 Villingen
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25 Jul
Hollenbach
0 : 5 VfB Stuttgart
04 Jul
Hollenbach
0 : 4 Ansbach
30 May
Hollenbach
4 : 3 1. CfR Pforzheim
16 May
Hollenbach
1 : 2 FC 08 Villingen
01 May
Hollenbach
2 : 2 Turkish SV Singen
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TSV Essingen
(Away) 08 Aug
Young Boys Reutlingen
1 : 1 TSV Essingen
12 Jul
TSV Essingen
4 : 0 Ansbach
04 Jul
Memmingen
3 : 5 TSV Essingen
30 May
TSV Essingen
1 : 2 Reutlingen
22 May
FC Nottingen
1 : 1 TSV Essingen
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08 Aug
Young Boys Reutlingen
1 : 1 TSV Essingen
04 Jul
Memmingen
3 : 5 TSV Essingen
22 May
FC Nottingen
1 : 1 TSV Essingen
16 May
Turkish SV Singen
6 : 1 TSV Essingen
02 May
Karlsruher II
1 : 1 TSV Essingen
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aalen | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 87:24 | 83 |
| 2 | VfR Mannheim | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 81:34 | 69 |
| 3 | FC Nottingen | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 82:61 | 58 |
| 4 | Ravensburg | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 61:52 | 57 |
| 5 | TSV Essingen | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 54:58 | 54 |
| 6 | Oberachern | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 54:62 | 54 |
| 7 | 1. CfR Pforzheim | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 68:61 | 48 |
| 8 | Reutlingen | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 56:50 | 47 |
| 9 | FC 08 Villingen | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 55:56 | 47 |
| 10 | Karlsruher II | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 54:61 | 43 |
| 11 | Backnang | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50:67 | 42 |
| 12 | Turkish SV Singen | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 55:81 | 40 |
| 13 | FC Normannia Gmund | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 53:51 | 39 |
| 14 | Turkspor Neckarsulm | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 52:61 | 39 |
| 15 | Goppinger | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 53:53 | 36 |
| 16 | Hollenbach | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 56:69 | 35 |
| 17 | Bietigheim-Bissingen | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 54:81 | 33 |
| 18 | Denzlingen | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:78 | 19 |
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
