Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Holmlia vs Nesodden II

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Holmlia in this Division 3 - Group 1 2012 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Holmlia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Holmlia
15%
Draws
85%
Nesodden II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nesodden II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Holmlia lately — more wins on the board than Nesodden II.
  • Win probability leans Holmlia's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Holmlia Clean Sheet 10%
Nesodden II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holmlia Nesodden II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 3
Draws 4 1
Losses 22 26
Goals Scored 0.97 1.2
Goals Conceded 3.63 4.4
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2012 Division 3 - Group 1
Nesodden II vs Holmlia
2:3
Jul 2, 2012 Division 3 - Group 1
Holmlia vs Nesodden II
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holmlia 65 / 100
Nesodden II 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holmlia Nesodden II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holmlia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nesodden II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Nesodden II lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Holmlia found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Holmlia VS Nesodden II
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
3.75 Goals Conceded 5.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Holmlia

(Home)
24 May
Holmlia
0 : 2
Skeid
26 Apr
Holmlia
0 : 9
Stabaek
19 Oct
Gjerdrum Idrettslag
3 : 0
Holmlia
13 Oct
Holmlia
0 : 7
Lyn 2
07 Oct
Stabaek 2
7 : 2
Holmlia
Page 1 of 6

Nesodden II

(Away)
19 Oct
Romsas
5 : 0
Nesodden II
12 Oct
Nesodden II
2 : 8
Sparta Sarpsborg
07 Oct
Oppsal
5 : 1
Nesodden II
30 Sept
Sprint-Jeloy
5 : 0
Nesodden II
23 Sept
Nesodden II
2 : 9
Follo 2
Page 1 of 6