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Stadium Background

Holmlia vs Sarpsborg 08 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 2012 game between Holmlia and Sarpsborg 08 2 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarpsborg 08 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Holmlia
15%
Draws
85%
Sarpsborg 08 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarpsborg 08 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sarpsborg 08 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sarpsborg 08 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Holmlia Clean Sheet 19%
Sarpsborg 08 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holmlia Sarpsborg 08 2
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 4 15
Draws 4 9
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 0.97 2.4
Goals Conceded 3.63 1.98
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2012 Division 3 - Group 1
Holmlia vs Sarpsborg 08 2
1:3
May 29, 2012 Division 3 - Group 1
Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Holmlia
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holmlia 10 / 100
Sarpsborg 08 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holmlia Sarpsborg 08 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarpsborg 08 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sarpsborg 08 2 conceded in 86% of 42 recent games.

Holmlia found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Sarpsborg 08 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sarpsborg 08 2
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Holmlia

(Home)
24 May
Holmlia
0 : 2
Skeid
26 Apr
Holmlia
0 : 9
Stabaek
19 Oct
Gjerdrum Idrettslag
3 : 0
Holmlia
13 Oct
Holmlia
0 : 7
Lyn 2
07 Oct
Stabaek 2
7 : 2
Holmlia
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Sarpsborg 08 2

(Away)
17 Aug
Fram
3 : 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
09 Aug
Sarpsborg 08 2
11 : 0
Brumunddal
03 Aug
Oppsal
2 : 2
Sarpsborg 08 2
27 Jul
Sarpsborg 08 2
2 : 3
Orn
25 Jun
Bjorkelangen
2 : 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
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