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Holon Yermiyahu vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Masri A.
54' Event
Nisimov I.
63' Event
Marciano L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef South game between Holon Yermiyahu and Beitar Nordia Jerusalem finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holon Yermiyahu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Holon Yermiyahu
15%
Draws
0%
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holon Yermiyahu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Holon Yermiyahu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Holon Yermiyahu are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Alef South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Holon Yermiyahu Clean Sheet 20%
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holon Yermiyahu Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
Matches Played 23 24
Wins 8 4
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.3 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.35 2.08
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.32
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Liga Alef South
Holon Yermiyahu vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
5:0
Apr 10, 2026 Liga Alef South
Holon Yermiyahu vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0:0
Dec 31, 2025 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Holon Yermiyahu
1:2
Mar 12, 2025 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Holon Yermiyahu
3:2
Nov 8, 2024 Liga Alef South
Holon Yermiyahu vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holon Yermiyahu Compare

Top Goalscorer Masri A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nisimov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holon Yermiyahu 85 / 100
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holon Yermiyahu Beitar Nordia Jerusalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holon Yermiyahu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem let in goals in 88% of their last 24 matches.

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Holon Yermiyahu scored in 78% of their last 23 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Holon Yermiyahu VS Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0.25 Goals Scored 0.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
13% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Holon Yermiyahu

(Home)
08 Oct
Holon Yermiyahu
5 : 0
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
30 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
2 : 0
Holon Yermiyahu
24 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 0
Kfar Saba 1928
17 Sept
Shimshon Tel Aviv
3 : 1
Holon Yermiyahu
09 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 0
Hapoel Marmorek
Page 1 of 5

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem

(Away)
08 Oct
Holon Yermiyahu
5 : 0
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
30 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0 : 4
Hapoel Hadera
23 Sept
Ironi Beit Shemesh
1 : 0
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
18 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
1 : 3
Jerusalem FC
09 Sept
H. Herzliya
3 : 1
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Dimona 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 H. Herzliya 6 3 3 0 6:2 12
4 Ramat Hasharon 6 3 3 0 6:3 12
5 Jerusalem FC 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
6 Shimshon Tel Aviv 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
7 Holon Yermiyahu 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
8 Maccabi Yavne 6 2 3 1 9:3 9
9 Hapoel Hadera 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
10 Hapoel Azor 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
11 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 6 1 4 1 8:7 7
12 Hapoel Sderot FC 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Ironi Beit Shemesh 6 2 1 3 8:14 7
14 Hapoel Marmorek 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
15 Kfar Saba 1928 5 1 1 3 7:7 4
16 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 6 0 3 3 4:8 3
17 Tzeirei Tira 6 0 0 6 2:13 0
18 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 6 0 0 6 2:18 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)