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Holstebro vs Holbaek

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3rd Division matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Holstebro
15%
Draws
59%
Holbaek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holbaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Holbaek lately — more wins on the board than Holstebro.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Holbaek have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Holstebro Clean Sheet 10%
Holbaek Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holstebro Holbaek
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 18
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.79 2.24
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 2.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Holbaek
2:2
Apr 12, 2025 3rd Division
Holbaek vs Holstebro
2:1
Oct 5, 2024 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Holbaek
0:1
Sep 25, 2024 Betano Pokalen
Holbaek vs Holstebro
2:1
Apr 1, 2024 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Holbaek
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holstebro 30 / 100
Holbaek 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holstebro Holbaek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holstebro's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Holbaek let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Holstebro has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Holstebro VS Holbaek
1.33 Goals Scored 3
1.67 Goals Conceded 0.75
67% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Holstebro

(Home)
04 Aug
Holstebro
1 : 3
Aalborg
01 Aug
Horsholm-Usserod
2 : 3
Holstebro
23 Jul
Skive
2 : 2
Holstebro
18 Jul
Thisted FC
3 : 2
Holstebro
21 Feb
Holstebro
1 : 5
Thisted FC
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Holbaek

(Away)
04 Aug
Holbaek
1 : 2
AB Copenhagen
01 Aug
Holbaek
2 : 1
BK Frem
18 Jul
Hellerup
1 : 3
Holbaek
14 Jul
Boldklubben 1893
3 : 1
Holbaek
13 Jun
Holbaek
1 : 0
Vejgaard
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holstebro 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Holbaek 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Naesby 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Vanlose 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
5 Helsingor 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
6 Ringsted 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 ASA Aarhus 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Bronshoj 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 Ishoj IF 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 Horsholm-Usserod 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
11 BK Frem 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
12 Sundby 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 3rd Division (Relegation Group)