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Holstebro vs Holbaek - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Andersen A.
25' Event
Tonnesen M.
60' Event
Tonnesen M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3rd Division matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Holstebro
15%
Draws
59%
Holbaek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holbaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Holbaek lately — more wins on the board than Holstebro.
  • Win probability leans Holbaek's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Holbaek have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Holstebro Clean Sheet 10%
Holbaek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holstebro Holbaek
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 21
Draws 3 4
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.83 2.33
Goals Conceded 2.62 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Holbaek
2:2
Apr 12, 2025 3rd Division
Holbaek vs Holstebro
2:1
Oct 5, 2024 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Holbaek
0:1
Sep 25, 2024 Betano Pokalen
Holbaek vs Holstebro
2:1
Apr 1, 2024 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Holbaek
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holstebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Tonnesen M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Holbaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersen A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grunwaldt F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holstebro 18 / 100
Holbaek 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holstebro Holbaek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holbaek Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holstebro's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Holbaek let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Holstebro has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Holstebro VS Holbaek
1.63 Goals Scored 2.75
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Holstebro

(Home)
10 Oct
Holstebro
2 : 4
Bronshoj
03 Oct
Naesby
4 : 0
Holstebro
26 Sept
Holstebro
1 : 3
Ishoj IF
19 Sept
Sundby
2 : 0
Holstebro
13 Sept
Holstebro
3 : 2
BK Frem
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Holbaek

(Away)
10 Oct
Vanlose
0 : 0
Holbaek
03 Oct
Holbaek
2 : 1
ASA Aarhus
25 Sept
Helsingor
5 : 1
Holbaek
18 Sept
Holbaek
5 : 2
Ringsted
13 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
3 : 1
Holbaek
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holbaek 10 7 1 2 26:18 22
2 Bronshoj 10 5 4 1 18:10 19
3 Vanlose 10 5 4 1 16:9 19
4 Naesby 10 5 2 3 20:14 17
5 Helsingor 10 5 2 3 18:14 17
6 ASA Aarhus 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
7 Holstebro 10 4 1 5 16:22 13
8 Horsholm-Usserod 10 3 3 4 20:19 12
9 Ishoj IF 11 3 2 6 12:21 11
10 Sundby 11 3 1 7 16:19 10
11 BK Frem 10 2 3 5 17:19 9
12 Ringsted 10 1 2 7 13:27 5
Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 3rd Division (Relegation Group)